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Robust Bayesian Modeling of Counts with Zero Inflation and Outliers: Theoretical Robustness and Efficient Computation

零膨胀与离群计数的稳健贝叶斯建模:理论稳健性与高效计算

Count data with zero inflation and large outliers are ubiquitous in many scientific applications. However, posterior analysis under a standard statistical model, such as Poisson or negative binomial distribution, is sensitive to such contamination. This study introduces a novel framework for Bayesian modeling of counts that is robust to both zero inflation and large outliers. In doing so, we introduce rescaled beta distribution and adopt it to absorb undesirable effects from…

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Fully Data-Driven Normalized and Exponentiated Kernel Density Estimator with Hyvärinen Score

基于 Hyvärinen 评分的全数据驱动归一化幂化核密度估计

Recently, Jewson and Rossell proposed a new approach for kernel density estimation using an exponentiated form of kernel density estimators. The density estimator contained two hyperparameters that flexibly controls the smoothness of the resulting density. We tune them in a data-driven manner by minimizing an objective function based on the Hyvärinen score to avoid the optimization involving the intractable normalizing constant caused by the exponentiation. We show the…

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Bayesian Approach to Lorenz Curve Using Time Series Grouped Data

基于时间序列分组数据的洛伦兹曲线贝叶斯估计

This study is concerned with estimating the inequality measures associated with the underlying hypothetical income distribution from the times series grouped data on the income proportions. We adopt the Dirichlet likelihood approach where the parameters of the Dirichlet likelihood are set to the differences between the Lorenz curve of the hypothetical income distribution for the consecutive income classes and propose a state-space model which combines the transformed…

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Grouped Heterogeneous Mixture Modeling for Clustered Data

聚类数据的分组异质混合建模

Clustered data are ubiquitous in a variety of scientific fields. In this article, we propose a flexible and interpretable modeling approach, called grouped heterogeneous mixture modeling, for clustered data, which models cluster-wise conditional distributions by mixtures of latent conditional distributions common to all the clusters. In the model, we assume that clusters are divided into a finite number of groups and mixing proportions are the same within the same group. We…

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