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A Non-Gaussian Model for Time Series with Pulses

带脉冲时间序列的非高斯模型

A non-Gaussian autoregressive-like model is presented for time series that exhibit occasional large increases in value, termed pulses, and exponential decay between pulses. The model differs from a first-order autoregressive process in its incorporation of feedback between the distribution of the current innovation and the history of the process. Likelihood-based methods of inference for the model are developed, and an application to endocrinological data is given.

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A Class of Logistic Regression Models for Multivariate Binary Time Series

多元二元时间序列的一类 logistic 回归模型

A logistic model for multivariate binary time series is proposed. First, we establish the equivalence between a log-linear model for the marginal distribution of a multivariate binary random vector and logistic models for the conditional distributions of each component given the others. The logistic formulation is used to describe a Markov chain for each series, which implies a Markov model for the vector of time series. A pseudolikelihood estimation procedure is presented.…

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A Non-Gaussian Model for Time Series with Pulses

含脉冲时间序列的非高斯模型

A non-Gaussian autoregressive-like model is presented for time series that exhibit occasional large increases in value, termed pulses, and exponential decay between pulses. The model differs from a first-order autoregressive process in its incorporation of feedback between the distribution of the current innovation and the history of the process. Likelihood-based methods of inference for the model are developed, and an application to endocrinological data is given.

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A regression model for time series of counts

计数时间序列的回归模型

This paper discusses a model for regression analysis with a time series of counts. Correlation is assumed to arise from an unobservable process added to the linear predictor in a log linear model. An estimating equation approach used for parameter estimation leads to an iterative weighted and filtered least-squares algorithm. Asymptotic properties for the regression coefficients are presented. We illustrate the technique with an analysis of trends in U.S. polio incidence…

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A Frequency-Domain Median Time Series

频域中位数时间序列

This article discusses the median of a batch of time series. We focus on the frequency-domain median (FDM) series (Zeger 1985), which is calculated from the “mediancenters” (Gower 1974) of the discrete Fourier transforms. Like the univariate median, it has a breakdown value of 50%. Like the mean, the FDM time series of independent realizations from a stationary Gaussian process has a spectrum proportional to that of the component series. Analogs of the univariate median have…

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A Frequency-Domain Median Time Series

频域中位数时间序列

This article discusses the median of a batch of time series. We focus on the frequency-domain median (FDM) series (Zeger 1985), which is calculated from the “mediancenters” (Gower 1974) of the discrete Fourier transforms. Like the univariate median, it has a breakdown value of 50%. Like the mean, the FDM time series of independent realizations from a stationary Gaussian process has a spectrum proportional to that of the component series. Analogs of the univariate median have…

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Regression Analysis with Censored Autocorrelated Data

删失且自相关数据的回归分析

For many studies in which data are collected sequentially in time, the sensitivity of the measurement is limited and an exact value can be recorded only if it falls within a specified range. This gives rise to a censored time series. In this article, we present a methodology for regression analysis of censored time series data. We fit autoregressive models to account for the time dependence. Two numerical methods for full likelihood estimation and an approximate method are…

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Exploring an Ozone Spatial Time Series in the Frequency Domain

在频域中探索臭氧的空间时间序列

In 1974, atmospheric scientists (Molina and Rowland; Cicerone et al.) first postulated that man-made chemicals known as CFC's (e.g., freon) deplete the earth's ozone when released into the atmosphere. This article presents an exploratory data analysis (EDA) of a spatial time series of ozone measurements. Frequency domain techniques for the EDA are introduced and used to graphically display global, long-term trends relevant to the CFC issue. My intention is to illustrate the…

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