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Human capital and migration: A cautionary tale

人力资本与迁移:一个警示性案例

We analyze the impact that the option of migration might have on human capital accumulation. We show that, when the return to education for migrants is lower in the destination than in the origin, the overall incentive to accumulate human capital is reduced as restrictions on migration are relaxed. We use panel data from the Chinese Household Income Project to document that the return to education for rural individuals is lower in urban areas than in rural areas. We then use…

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On the Identification of Gross Output Production Functions

We study the nonparametric identification of gross output production functions under the environment of the commonly employed proxy variable methods. We show that applying these methods to gross output requires additional sources of variation in the demand for flexible inputs (e.g., prices). Using a transformation of the firm’s first-order condition, we develop a new nonparametric identification strategy for gross output that can be employed even when additional sources of…

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Understanding aggregate crime regressions

理解总量犯罪回归

This paper provides a general description of the relationship between individual decision problems and aggregate crime regressions. The analysis is designed to elucidate the behavioral and statistical assumptions that are implicit in the use of aggregate crime regressions for both the analysis of crime determinants as well in counterfactual policy evaluation. We apply our general arguments to the question of the deterrent effect of capital punishment and show how alternative…

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