The Forecasting Accuracy of Consumer Attitude Data
消费者态度数据的预测准确性
This note evaluates the forecasting accuracy of the index of consumer sentiment constructed by the Michigan Survey Research Center. For the most part, other analyses have focused on the interpretation which should be given to an attitude variable or broadly described movements of the index of consumer sentiment in the vicinity of cyclical turning points. None of the studies have compared the accuracy of equations in which the attitude index is an independent variable against…