A Bivariate Bayes Method for Improving the Estimates of Mortality Rates With a Twofold Conditional Autoregressive Model
利用二重条件自回归模型改进死亡率估计的双变量贝叶斯方法
A bivariate Bayes method is proposed for estimating the mortality rates of a single disease for a given population, using additional information from a second disease. The information on the two diseases is assumed to be from the same population groups or areas. The joint frequencies of deaths for the two diseases for given populations are assumed to have a bivariate Poisson distribution with joint means proportional to the population sizes. The relationship between the…