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Approximate Efficiency of a Selection Procedure for the Number of Regression Variables

回归变量数量选择程序的近似效率

A simple approximation formula for the efficiency of the generalized final prediction error, (FPEα), criterion is obtained. In connexion with the approximate efficiency, a procedure for choosing α is proposed together with a further generalization of the FPEα criterion.

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Approximate efficiency of a selection procedure for the number of regression variables

回归变量个数选择程序的近似效率

A simple approximation formula for the efficiency of the generalized final prediction error, (FPEα), criterion is obtained. In connexion with the approximate efficiency, a procedure for choosing α is proposed together with a further generalization of the FPEα criterion.

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An Optimal Autoregressive Spectral Estimate

最优自回归谱估计

An asymptotic lower bound is obtained for the integrated relative squared error of autoregressive spectral estimate when the order of autoregression is selected. The bound is attained in the limit by the same selection as has been proposed for prediction.

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An optimal selection of regression variables

回归变量的渐近最优选择

An asymptotically optimal selection of regression variables is proposed. The key assumption is that the number of control variables is infinite or increases with the sample size. It is also shown that Mallows's Cp', Akaike's FPE and aic methods are all asymptotically equivalent to this method.

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Asymptotically Efficient Selection of the Order of the Model for Estimating Parameters of a Linear Process

线性过程参数估计中模型阶数的渐近有效选择

Let $\{x_t\}$ be a linear stationary process of the form $x_t + \Sigma_{1\leqslant i<\infty}a_ix_{t-i} = e_t$, where $\{e_t\}$ is a sequence of i.i.d. normal random variables with mean 0 and variance $\sigma^2$. Given observations $x_1, \cdots, x_n$, least squares estimates $\hat{a}(k)$ of $a' = (a_1, a_2, \cdots)$, and $\hat{\sigma}^2_k$ of $\sigma^2$ are obtained if the $k$th order autoregressive model is assumed. By using $\hat{a}(k)$, we can also estimate coefficients of…

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Selection of the Order of an Autoregressive Model by Akaike's Information Criterion

用 Akaike 信息准则选择自回归模型阶数

The asymptotic distribution is obtained of the order of regression selected by Akaike's information criterion in autoregressive models. The asymptotic quadratic risks of estimates of regression parameters are evaluated when the order is selected by this method. Some results of computational experiments are given.

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Selection of the order of an autoregressive model by Akaike's information criterion

利用赤池信息准则选择自回归模型阶数

The asymptotic distribution is obtained of the order of regression selected by Akaike's information criterion in autoregressive models. The asymptotic quadratic risks of estimates of regression parameters are evaluated when the order is selected by this method. Some results of computational experiments are given.

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