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McGraw-Hill 预期调查数据的预测准确性AI 解读

This study analyzes the forecast accuracy of the McGraw-Hill (M-H) anticipations with one- to four-year horizons of investment, sales and capacity for major manufacturing industries for the period 1948–71. Average absolute percentage errors are presented for each anticipation series. In comparison to the BEA survey of one-year investment anticipations, the M-H data are generally less accurate. On the other hand, in forecasting experiments the M-H series are shown to be more…

McGraw-Hill 预期调查数据的预测准确性AI 解读

This study analyzes the forecast accuracy of the McGraw-Hill (M-H) anticipations with one- to four-year horizons of investment, sales and capacity for major manufacturing industries for the period 1948–71. Average absolute percentage errors are presented for each anticipation series. In comparison to the BEA survey of one-year investment anticipations, the M-H data are generally less accurate. On the other hand, in forecasting experiments the M-H series are shown to be more…