Asymptotic Behavior of Least-Squares Estimates for Autoregressive Processes with Infinite Variances
无限方差自回归过程最小二乘估计的渐近行为
Let $y_t$ be an order $p$ autoregressive process of the form $y_t + \sum^p_{s=1} \beta_s y_{t-s} = u_t$, where the $u_t$'s are i.i.d. variables with a symmetric distribution $F$ such that $E \log^+ |u_t| < \infty$. For the Yule-Walker version $\beta_T^\ast$ of the least-squares estimate of $\beta = (\beta_1,\cdots, \beta_p)$, it is shown that $T^\frac{1}{2}(\beta_T^\ast - \beta)$ is bounded in probability.