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ASYMPTOTICALLY UNIFORMLY MOST POWERFUL TESTS FOR UNIT ROOTS IN GAUSSIAN PANELS WITH CROSS-SECTIONAL DEPENDENCE GENERATED BY COMMON FACTORS

共同因子生成横截面依赖的高斯面板中渐近一致最强的单位根检验

This paper considers testing for unit roots in Gaussian panels with cross-sectional dependence generated by common factors. Within our setup, we can analyze restricted versions of the two prevalent approaches in the literature, that of Moon and Perron (2004, Journal of Econometrics 122, 81–126), who specify a factor model for the innovations, and the PANIC setup proposed in Bai and Ng (2004, Econometrica 72, 1127–1177), who test common factors and idiosyncratic deviations…

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Semiparametrically point-optimal hybrid rank tests for unit roots

单位根的半参数点最优混合秩检验

We propose a new class of unit root tests that exploits invariance properties in the Locally Asymptotically Brownian Functional limit experiment associated to the unit root model. The invariance structures naturally suggest tests that are based on the ranks of the increments of the observations, their average and an assumed reference density for the innovations. The tests are semiparametric in the sense that they are valid, that is, have the correct (asymptotic) size,…

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Semiparametric error-correction models for cointegration with trends: Pseudo-Gaussian and optimal rank-based tests of the cointegration rank

含趋势协整模型的伪高斯与局部最优秩检验

This paper provides pseudo-Gaussian and locally optimal rank-based tests for the cointegration rank in linear cointegrated error-correction models with common trends and i.i.d. elliptical innovations. The proposed tests are asymptotically distribution-free, hence their validity does not depend on the actual distribution of the innovations. The proposed rank-based tests depend on the choice of scores, associated with a reference density that can freely be chosen. Under…

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ASYMPTOTICALLY UMP PANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS—THE EFFECT OF HETEROGENEITY IN THE ALTERNATIVES

渐近一致最强面板单位根检验:备择异质性的影响

In a Gaussian, heterogeneous, cross-sectionally independent panel with incidental intercepts, Moon, Perron, and Phillips (2007, Journal of Econometrics 141, 416–459) present an asymptotic power envelope yielding an upper bound to the local asymptotic power of unit root tests. In case of homogeneous alternatives this envelope is known to be sharp, but this paper shows that it is not attainable for heterogeneous alternatives. Using limit experiment theory we derive a sharp…

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Semiparametric Gaussian copula models: Geometry and efficient rank-based estimation

半参数高斯 Copula 模型:几何与有效秩估计

We propose, for multivariate Gaussian copula models with unknown margins and structured correlation matrices, a rank-based, semiparametrically efficient estimator for the Euclidean copula parameter. This estimator is defined as a one-step update of a rank-based pilot estimator in the direction of the efficient influence function, which is calculated explicitly. Moreover, finite-dimensional algebraic conditions are given that completely characterize efficiency of the…

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A class of simple distribution-free rank-based unit root tests

一类简单的分布无关秩单位根检验

We propose a class of distribution-free rank-based tests for the null hypothesis of a unit root. This class is indexed by the choice of a reference density g, which need not coincide with the unknown actual innovation density f. The validity of these tests, in terms of exact finite-sample size, is guaranteed, irrespective of the actual underlying density, by distribution-freeness. Those tests are locally and asymptotically optimal under a particular asymptotic scheme, for…

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Efficient Estimation of Auto-Regression Parameters and Innovation Distributions for Semiparametric Integer-Valued AR( p ) Models

半参数整数值 AR(p) 模型的自回归参数与创新分布有效估计

Summary Integer-valued auto-regressive (INAR) processes have been introduced to model non-negative integer-valued phenomena that evolve over time. The distribution of an INAR(p) process is essentially described by two parameters: a vector of auto-regression coefficients and a probability distribution on the non-negative integers, called an immigration or innovation distribution. Traditionally, parametric models are considered where the innovation distribution is assumed to…

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