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Robustness, model checking, and hierarchical models

稳健性、模型检验与层级模型

Abstract Model checking is essential to evaluate the adequacy of statistical models and the validity of inferences drawn from them. Particularly, hierarchical models such as latent Gaussian models (LGMs) pose unique challenges as it is difficult to check assumptions on the latent parameters. Diagnostic statistics are often used to quantify the degree to which a model fit deviates from the observed data. We construct diagnostic statistics by (a) defining an alternative model…

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Fitting Latent Non-Gaussian Models Using Variational Bayes and Laplace Approximations

利用变分贝叶斯与拉普拉斯近似拟合潜在非高斯模型

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that contain inherently non-Gaussian features, such as sudden jumps or spikes, that adversely affect the inferences and predictions made using an LGM. These datasets require more general latent non-Gaussian models (LnGMs) that can handle…

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