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Estimating Incentive and Selection Effects in the Medigap Insurance Market: An Application with Dirichlet Process Mixture Model

Medigap 保险市场的激励与选择效应:Dirichlet 过程混合模型应用

This paper presents an empirical study of endogenous treatment effects in the presence of heterogeneous responses. We estimate the incentive and selection effects of having prescription drug coverage on total drug expenditures using a sample from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS). A Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) model is used to model the heterogeneity in treatment effects. Rather than estimating a finite mixture model with a fixed number of components, we…

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Bayesian analysis of the ordered probit model with endogenous selection

具有内生选择的有序 Probit 模型的贝叶斯分析

This paper presents a Bayesian analysis of an ordered probit model with endogenous selection. The model can be applied when analyzing ordered outcomes that depend on endogenous covariates that are discrete choice indicators modeled by a multinomial probit model. The model is illustrated by analyzing the effects of different types of medical insurance plans on the level of hospital utilization, allowing for potential endogeneity of insurance status. The estimation is…

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Bayesian analysis of the two‐part model with endogeneity: application to health care expenditure

含内生性的两部模型贝叶斯分析:医疗支出应用

Abstract This paper studies the effect of managed care on medical expenditure using a model in which the insurance status is assumed to be endogenous. Insurance plan choice is modeled through the multinomial probit model. The medical expenditure variable, the outcome of interest, has a significant proportion of zeros that are handled using the two‐part model, extended to handle endogenous insurance. The estimation approach is Bayesian, based on the Gibbs Sampler. The model…

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Specification and simulated likelihood estimation of a non‐normal treatment‐outcome model with selection: Application to health care utilization

存在选择的非正态处理—结果模型:设定、模拟似然估计与医疗利用应用

We develop a specification and estimation framework for a class of nonlinear, non-normal microeconometric models of treatment and outcome with selection. A latent factor structure is used to accommodate selection into treatment and a simulated likelihood method is used for estimation. The methodology is applied to examine the causal effect of managed care, a multinomial discrete choice process, on the utilization of health care services, measured as binary indicators and…

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Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of multivariate mixed‐Poisson regression models, with application

多元混合泊松回归的模拟最大似然估计及应用

This paper proposes and implements simulated maximum likelihood estimation of bivariate count models with unrestricted correlation pattern of unobserved heterogeneity. The implementation incorporates both antithetic acceleration and adjustment for first-order simulation bias. Both the Monte Carlo simulation evidence and an application to health utilization data confirm that the method is reliable and feasible in data analysis.

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Excess Zeros in Count Models for Recreational Trips

休闲出游次数模型中的过多零值

This article develops a modeling approach for a count data set for recreational boating trips that shows a frequency of zero counts significantly higher than that expected for Poisson distributed data. As alternatives to the Poisson regression, the authors consider several parametric and semiparametric mixed and modified Poisson models. The analysis suggests that the negative binomial hurdles model, which allows for overdispersion and also accommodates the presence of…

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Tests of Independence in Parametric Models With Applications and Illustrations

参数模型中的独立性检验:应用与示例

Tests of independence between variables in discrete and continuous bivariate and multivariate regression equations are derived using series expansions of joint distributions in terms of marginal distributions and their related orthonormal polynomials. Th e tests are conditional moment tests based on covariances between pair s of orthonormal polynomials. Examples include tests of serial independence against bilinear and/or autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity…

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Variable Augmentation Specification Tests in the Exponential Family

指数族中的变量增广设定检验

This paper motivates, exposits, and develops the variable augmentation specification test (VAST) approach from the perspective of generalized linear exponential family, which includes several parametric families widely used in applied econometrics and statistics. The approach is equivalent to score tests and link tests and serves to both unify and simplify the computation of score tests in such models using the Engle-Davidson-MacKinnon technique of artificial regression.…

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Econometric models based on count data. Comparisons and applications of some estimators and tests

计数数据计量模型:若干估计量与检验的比较及应用

Abstract This paper deals with specification, estimation and tests of single equation reduced form type equations in which the dependent variable takes only non‐negative integer values. Beginning with Poisson and compound Poisson models, which involve strong assumptions, a variety of possible stochastic models and their implications are discussed. A number of estimators and their properties are considered in the light of uncertainty about the data generation process. The…

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