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Bayesian Robustness: A Nonasymptotic Viewpoint

贝叶斯稳健性:非渐近视角

We study the problem of robustly estimating the posterior distribution for the setting where observed data can be contaminated with potentially adversarial outliers. We propose Rob-ULA, a robust variant of the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm (ULA), and provide a finite-sample analysis of its sampling distribution. In particular, we show that after T=O˜(d/εacc) iterations, we can sample from pT such that dist(pT,p*)≤εacc+O˜(ϵ), where ϵ is the fraction of corruptions and dist…

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FAST RATES FOR ESTIMATION ERROR AND ORACLE INEQUALITIES FOR MODEL SELECTION

估计误差的快速收敛率与模型选择的 Oracle 不等式

We consider complexity penalization methods for model selection. These methods aim to choose a model to optimally trade off estimation and approximation errors by minimizing the sum of an empirical risk term and a complexity penalty. It is well known that if we use a bound on the maximal deviation between empirical and true risks as a complexity penalty, then the risk of our choice is no more than the approximation error plus twice the complexity penalty. There are many…

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Local Rademacher complexities

局部 Rademacher 复杂度

We propose new bounds on the error of learning algorithms in terms of a data-dependent notion of complexity. The estimates we establish give optimal rates and are based on a local and empirical version of Rademacher averages, in the sense that the Rademacher averages are computed from the data, on a subset of functions with small empirical error. We present some applications to classification and prediction with convex function classes, and with kernel classes in particular.

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Discussions of boosting papers, and rejoinders

关于提升方法论文的讨论及作者回应

Discussions of: "Process consistency for AdaBoost" [Ann. Statist. 32 (2004), no. 1, 13-29] by W. Jiang; "On the Bayes-risk consistency of regularized boosting methods" [ibid., 30-55] by G. Lugosi and N. Vayatis; and "Statistical behavior and consistency of classification methods based on convex risk minimization" [ibid., 56-85] by T. Zhang. Includes rejoinders by the authors.

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