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Properties of higher criticism under strong dependence

强依赖下 higher criticism 检验的性质

The problem of signal detection using sparse, faint information is closely related to a variety of contemporary statistical problems, including the control of false-discovery rate, and classification using very high-dimensional data. Each problem can be solved by conducting a large number of simultaneous hypothesis tests, the properties of which are readily accessed under the assumption of independence. In this paper we address the case of dependent data, in the context of…

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Accelerated convergence for nonparametric regression with coarsened predictors

粗化预测变量下非参数回归的加速收敛

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while one has available a sample (W1, Y1), …, (Wn, Yn) of independent and identically distributed data, representing observations with precisely measured predictors, where E(Yi|Wi)=g(Wi), instead of the smooth regression function g, the target…

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Testing the suitability of polynomial models in errors-in-variables problems

协变量含测量误差时多项式模型的适用性检验

A low-degree polynomial model for a response curve is used commonly in practice. It generally incorporates a linear or quadratic function of the covariate. In this paper we suggest methods for testing the goodness of fit of a general polynomial model when there are errors in the covariates. There, the true covariates are not directly observed, and conventional bootstrap methods for testing are not applicable. We develop a new approach, in which deconvolution methods are used…

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To How Many Simultaneous Hypothesis Tests Can Normal, Student's t or Bootstrap Calibration Be Applied?

正态、Student t与bootstrap校准可支持多少个同时假设检验?

In the analysis of microarray data, and in some other contemporary statistical problems, it is not uncommon to apply hypothesis tests in a highly simultaneous way. The number, N say, of tests used can be much larger than the sample sizes, n, to which the tests are applied, yet we wish to calibrate the tests so that the overall level of the simultaneous test is accurate. Often the sampling distribution is quite different for each test, so there may not be an opportunity to…

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Non-Parametric Regression Estimation from Data Contaminated by a Mixture of Berkson and Classical Errors

Berkson 与经典测量误差混合污染下的非参数回归估计

Summary Estimation of a regression function is a well-known problem in the context of errors in variables, where the explanatory variable is observed with random noise. This noise can be of two types, which are known as classical or Berkson, and it is common to assume that the error is purely of one of these two types. In practice, however, there are many situations where the explanatory variable is contaminated by a mixture of the two errors. In such instances, the Berkson…

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Statistical Inference for Evolving Periodic Functions

演化周期函数的统计推断

Summary In the study of variable stars, where the light reaching an observer fluctuates over time, it can be difficult to explain the nature of the variation unless it follows a regular pattern. In this respect, so-called periodic variable stars are particularly amenable to analysis. There, radiation varies in a perfectly periodic fashion, and period length is a major focus of interest. We develop methods for conducting inference about features that might account for…

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A ridge-parameter approach to deconvolution

基于岭参数的反卷积方法

Kernel methods for deconvolution have attractive features, and prevail in the literature. However, they have disadvantages, which include the fact that they are usually suitable only for cases where the error distribution is infinitely supported and its characteristic function does not ever vanish. Even in these settings, optimal convergence rates are achieved by kernel estimators only when the kernel is chosen to adapt to the unknown smoothness of the target distribution.…

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Nonparametric estimation of a point-spread function in multivariate problems

多变量问题中点扩散函数的非参数估计

The removal of blur from a signal, in the presence of noise, is readily accomplished if the blur can be described in precise mathematical terms. However, there is growing interest in problems where the extent of blur is known only approximately, for example in terms of a blur function which depends on unknown parameters that must be computed from data. More challenging still is the case where no parametric assumptions are made about the blur function. There has been a…

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Semiparametric estimators of functional measurement error models with unknown error

未知误差分布下函数型测量误差模型的半参数估计

Summary We consider functional measurement error models where the measurement error distribution is estimated non-parametrically. We derive a locally efficient semiparametric estimator but propose not to implement it owing to its numerical complexity. Instead, a plug-in estimator is proposed, where the measurement error distribution is estimated through non-parametric kernel methods based on multiple measurements. The root n consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

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Nonparametric estimation when data on derivatives are available

具有导数观测时的非参数估计

We consider settings where data are available on a nonparametric function and various partial derivatives. Such circumstances arise in practice, for example in the joint estimation of cost and input functions in economics. We show that when derivative data are available, local averages can be replaced in certain dimensions by nonlocal averages, thus reducing the nonparametric dimension of the problem. We derive optimal rates of convergence and conditions under which…

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Methodology and convergence rates for functional linear regression

函数型线性回归的方法与收敛速率

In functional linear regression, the slope “parameter” is a function. Therefore, in a nonparametric context, it is determined by an infinite number of unknowns. Its estimation involves solving an ill-posed problem and has points of contact with a range of methodologies, including statistical smoothing and deconvolution. The standard approach to estimating the slope function is based explicitly on functional principal components analysis and, consequently, on spectral…

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Prediction in functional linear regression

函数型线性回归中的预测

There has been substantial recent work on methods for estimating the slope function in linear regression for functional data analysis. However, as in the case of more conventional finite-dimensional regression, much of the practical interest in the slope centers on its application for the purpose of prediction, rather than on its significance in its own right. We show that the problems of slope-function estimation, and of prediction from an estimator of the slope function,…

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Assessing the Finite Dimensionality of Functional Data

评估函数型数据的有限维性

Summary If a problem in functional data analysis is low dimensional then the methodology for its solution can often be reduced to relatively conventional techniques in multivariate analysis. Hence, there is intrinsic interest in assessing the finite dimensionality of functional data. We show that this problem has several unique features. From some viewpoints the problem is trivial, in the sense that continuously distributed functional data which are exactly finite…

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Nonparametric estimation of mean-squared prediction error in nested-error regression models

嵌套误差回归模型中均方预测误差的非参数估计

Nested-error regression models are widely used for analyzing clustered data. For example, they are often applied to two-stage sample surveys, and in biology and econometrics. Prediction is usually the main goal of such analyses, and mean-squared prediction error is the main way in which prediction performance is measured. In this paper we suggest a new approach to estimating mean-squared prediction error. We introduce a matched-moment, double-bootstrap algorithm, enabling…

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Nonparametric Density Estimation From Covariate Information

利用协变量信息进行非参数密度估计

An increasing number of statistical problems arise in connection with functional calibration. In each case, inexpensive indirect data in a particular context are combined with direct expensive-to-acquire data from different but related settings to estimate quantities in the former case. Sometimes (e.g., in chemometrics problems where spectroscopic calibration is used) the indirect data are functional. But more commonly, they are scalar or vector-valued, and the functional…

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Using the periodogram to estimate period in nonparametric regression

用周期图估计非参数回归中的周期

Properties of the periodogram are seldom studied in the setting of nonparametric regression, although that is the context in which the periodogram is widely applied in astronomy. There it is a competitor with more recent least-squares methods. The periodogram has the advantage of providing significant graphical insight into statistical and numerical aspects of the problem. However, as we show in the present paper, it also has drawbacks. The estimator that it produces has…

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Confidence bands for hazard rates under random censorship

随机删失下风险率函数的置信带

We suggest a completely empirical approach to the construction of confidence bands for hazard functions, based on smoothing the Nelsen-Aalen estimator. In particular, we introduce a local bandwidth-choice method. Our approach uses empirical information about both the survival rate and the censoring rate, and employs undersmoothing to alleviate difficulties caused by bias. We use both Edgeworth expansion and numerical simulation, the former to develop a basic formula and the…

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Assessing extrema of empirical principal component functions

经验主成分函数极值的评估

The difficulties of estimating and representing the distributions of functional data mean that principal component methods play a substantially greater role in functional data analysis than in more conventional finite-dimensional settings. Local maxima and minima in principal component functions are of direct importance; they indicate places in the domain of a random function where influence on the function value tends to be relatively strong but of opposite sign. We explore…

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Properties of principal component methods for functional and longitudinal data analysis

函数型与纵向数据分析中主成分方法的性质

The use of principal component methods to analyze functional data is appropriate in a wide range of different settings. In studies of “functional data analysis,” it has often been assumed that a sample of random functions is observed precisely, in the continuum and without noise. While this has been the traditional setting for functional data analysis, in the context of longitudinal data analysis a random function typically represents a patient, or subject, who is observed…

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Nonparametric Methods for Solving the Berkson Errors-in-Variables Problem

解决 Berkson 测量误差问题的非参数方法

Summary It is common, in errors-in-variables problems in regression, to assume that the errors are incurred ‘after the experiment’, in that the observed value of the explanatory variable is an independent perturbation of its true value. However, if the errors are incurred ‘before the experiment’ then the true value of the explanatory variable equals a perturbation of its observed value. This is the context of the Berkson model, which is increasingly attracting attention in…

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On Parametric Bootstrap Methods for Small Area Prediction

小区域预测的参数自助法

Summary The particularly wide range of applications of small area prediction, e.g. in policy making decisions, has meant that this topic has received substantial attention in recent years. The problems of estimating mean-squared predictive error, of correcting that estimator for bias and of constructing prediction intervals have been addressed by various workers, although existing methodology is still restricted to a narrow range of models. To overcome this difficulty we…

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On Properties of Functional Principal Components Analysis

函数型主成分分析的性质

Summary Functional data analysis is intrinsically infinite dimensional; functional principal component analysis reduces dimension to a finite level, and points to the most significant components of the data. However, although this technique is often discussed, its properties are not as well understood as they might be. We show how the properties of functional principal component analysis can be elucidated through stochastic expansions and related results. Our approach…

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Nonparametric methods for inference in the presence of instrumental variables

存在工具变量时的非参数推断方法

We suggest two nonparametric approaches, based on kernel methods and orthogonal series to estimating regression functions in the presence of instrumental variables. For the first time in this class of problems, we derive optimal convergence rates, and show that they are attained by particular estimators. In the presence of instrumental variables the relation that identifies the regression function also defines an ill-posed inverse problem, the “difficulty” of which depends…

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Bayesian Likelihood Methods for Estimating the End Point of a Distribution

估计分布端点的贝叶斯似然方法

Summary We consider maximum likelihood methods for estimating the end point of a distribution. The likelihood function is modified by a prior distribution that is imposed on the location parameter. The prior is explicit and meaningful, and has a general form that adapts itself to different settings. Results on convergence rates and limiting distributions are given. In particular, it is shown that the limiting distribution is non-normal in non-regular cases. Parametric…

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