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A conditioning tactic that increases design sensitivity in observational block designs

提高观察性区组设计敏感度的条件化策略

Abstract In an observational block design, there are I blocks of J individuals, typically with one treated individual and J−1 controls; however, unlike a randomized block design, individuals were not randomly assigned to treatment or control. To be convincing, an observational block design must demonstrate that an ostensible treatment effect is not actually a consequence of small or moderate unmeasured biases of treatment assignment in the absence of a treatment effect. It…

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War and Wages

战争与工资

An instrument manipulates a treatment that it does not entirely control, but the instrument affects the outcome only indirectly through its manipulation of the treatment. The idealized prototype is the randomized encouragement design, in which subjects are randomly assigned to receive either encouragement to accept the treatment or no such encouragement, but not all subjects comply by doing what they are encouraged to do, and the situation is such that only the treatment…

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Aberrant Effects of Treatment

治疗的异常效应

Often, the protocol for a randomized controlled trial states that if a patient's health deteriorates substantially in certain specific ways, then the study treatments will no longer be considered adequate medical care, and the patient will be taken off the study treatments and given the needed care. Aberrant responses of this sort present special problems of interpretation. The few such patients may have received only limited exposure to the study treatments, but also may…

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Randomization Inference in a Group–Randomized Trial of Treatments for Depression

抑郁症治疗整群随机试验中的随机化推断

In the Prospect Study, in 10 pairs of two primary-care practices, one practice was picked at random to receive a “depression care manager” to treat its depressed patients. Randomization inference, properly performed, reflects the assignment of practices, not patients, to treatment or control. Yet, pertinent data describe individual patients: depression outcomes, baseline covariates, compliance with treatment. The methods discussed use only (i) the random assignment of…

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Minimum Distance Matched Sampling With Fine Balance in an Observational Study of Treatment for Ovarian Cancer

卵巢癌治疗观察性研究中的精细平衡最小距离匹配

In observational studies of treatment effects, matched samples have traditionally been constructed using two tools, namely close matches on one or two key covariates and close matches on the propensity score to stochastically balance large numbers of covariates. Here we propose a third tool, fine balance, obtained using the assignment algorithm in a new way. We use all three tools to construct a matched sample for an ongoing study of provider specialty in the treatment of…

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Interference Between Units in Randomized Experiments

随机实验中的单位间干扰

In a randomized experiment comparing two treatments, there is interference between units if applying the treatment to one unit may affect other units. Interference implies that treatment effects are not comparisons of two potential responses that a unit may exhibit, one under treatment and the other under control, but instead are inherently more complex. Interference is common in social settings where people communicate, compete, or spread disease; in studies that treat one…

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Exact, Nonparametric Inference When Doses Are Measured With Random Errors

剂量含随机测量误差时的精确非参数推断

Studies that estimate the effects of exposure to a possibly harmful agent often compare exposed subjects who received varied doses with matched controls who received zero dose. If the doses are measured with error, then one may wish to use the fallible doses to estimate a linear relationship between the unobserved true dose and the observed response. If one is willing to assume that the dose errors for exposed subjects are symmetrically distributed about 0—that is, the dose…

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Randomization Inference With Imperfect Compliance in the ACE-Inhibitor After Anthracycline Randomized Trial

蒽环类药物治疗后 ACE 抑制剂试验中不完全依从下的随机化推断

Anthracyclines are quite effective at curing certain cancers of childhood, but they may damage the heart. The ACE-Inhibitor After Anthracycline (AAA) study compared enalapril to placebo in a randomized trial in an effort to determine whether treatment with enalapril would preserve or improve cardiac function among children previously treated with anthracylines. As is true in many clinical trials, patient compliance with the study protocol was imperfect; some children took…

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Attributing Effects to Treatment in Matched Observational Studies

An effect is attributable to treatment if it would not have been observed had the individual been exposed to control instead. Extending earlier results on attributable effects in unmatched groups, a method of exact randomization inference and sensitivity analysis is developed for case-referent, case-crossover, and cohort studies with matched sets, and a large sample approximation to the exact inference is given. The unmatched case, considered previously, has certain…

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Stability in the Absence of Treatment

无处理状态下的稳定性

When subjects are measured twice, once at each of two symmetrical locations or times, stability of responses in the absence of treatment within subjects, together with comparability of untreated responses between subjects, is often viewed as supporting a conclusion that differences between treated and control responses reflect effects actually caused by the treatment. The degree to which this intuitive argument is formally correct is explored in several related models: a…

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