Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Unemployment Rates for the States of the U.S.
美国各州失业率的层级贝叶斯估计
Under a federal-state cooperative program, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes monthly unemployment rate estimates for its 50 states and the District of Columbia. The primary source of data for this estimation problem is the Current Population Survey (CPS). However, the CPS state unemployment rate estimates are unreliable, because the survey provides relatively few observations per state. Various federal agencies use state-level unemployment rate estimates…