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An exponential model for the spectrum of a scalar time series

标量时间序列频谱的指数模型

SUMMARY Existing procedures for obtaining linear prediction formulae for time series may be placed in two categories. The first consists of methods which involve fitting parametric models of the autoregressive or autoregressive moving average type. The second involves the factorization of an estimated spectral density function; this is essentially a nonparametric procedure. The procedure suggested in this paper contains elements of both of the above. Formally, it involves…

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On the Error of Prediction of a Time Series

时间序列预测的误差

Parametric and nonparametric procedures for the prediction of a time series are discussed. In each case the increase in the mean squared error of prediction, over its minimum level, due to the use of estimated spectra is assessed. The fitting of simple parametric models as approximations is also discussed.

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On the error of prediction of a time series

时间序列预测误差研究

Parametric and nonparametric procedures for the prediction of a time series are discussed. In each case the increase in the mean squared error of prediction, over its minimum level, due to the use of estimated spectra is assessed. The fitting of simple parametric models as approximations is also discussed.

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Spectral Analysis with Randomly Missing Observations

随机缺失观测下的谱分析

Summary Spectral analysis of data with randomly missing observations is considered. Conditions are found under which consistent estimation of the spectral density function of the observed process is possible. An estimate is proposed and the results of a simulation study of its first two moments are presented.

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