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Kullback–Leibler upper confidence bounds for optimal sequential allocation

用于最优序贯分配的 Kullback–Leibler 上置信界

We consider optimal sequential allocation in the context of the so-called stochastic multi-armed bandit model. We describe a generic index policy, in the sense of Gittins [J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 41 (1979) 148–177], based on upper confidence bounds of the arm payoffs computed using the Kullback–Leibler divergence. We consider two classes of distributions for which instances of this general idea are analyzed: the kl-UCB algorithm is designed for one-parameter…

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On-Line Expectation–Maximization Algorithm for latent Data Models

潜变量模型的在线期望最大化算法

Summary We propose a generic on-line (also sometimes called adaptive or recursive) version of the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm applicable to latent variable models of independent observations. Compared with the algorithm of Titterington, this approach is more directly connected to the usual EM algorithm and does not rely on integration with respect to the complete-data distribution. The resulting algorithm is usually simpler and is shown to achieve convergence to…

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Reversible Jump, Birth-and-Death and More General Continuous Time Markov Chain Monte Carlo Samplers

可逆跳跃、出生死亡及更一般的连续时间 MCMC 采样器

Summary Reversible jump methods are the most commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo tool for exploring variable dimension statistical models. Recently, however, an alternative approach based on birth-and-death processes has been proposed by Stephens for mixtures of distributions. We show that the birth-and-death setting can be generalized to include other types of continuous time jumps like split-and-combine moves in the spirit of Richardson and Green. We illustrate these…

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