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Testing for monotonicity of a regression mean by calibrating for linear functions

通过线性函数校准检验回归均值的单调性

A new approach to testing for monotonicity of a regression mean, not requiring computation of a curve estimator or a bandwidth, is suggested. It is based on the notion of “running gradients ” over short intervals, although from some viewpoints it may be regarded as an analogue for monotonicity testing of the dip/excess mass approach for testing modality hypotheses about densities. Like the latter methods, the new technique does not suffer difficulties caused by almost-flat…

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Local Polynomial Kernel Regression for Generalized Linear Models and Quasi-Likelihood Functions

广义线性模型与拟似然中的局部多项式核回归

We investigate the extension of the nonparametric regression technique of local polynomial fitting with a kernel weight to generalized linear models and quasi-likelihood contexts. In the ordinary regression case, local polynomial fitting has been seen to have several appealing features in terms of intuitive and mathematical simplicity. One noteworthy feature is the better performance near the boundaries compared to the traditional kernel regression estimators. These…

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Minimax Bayes Estimation in Nonparametric Regression

非参数回归中的极小极大贝叶斯估计

One observes $n$ data points, $(\mathbf{t}_i, Y_i),$ with the mean of $Y_i$, conditional on the regression function $f,$ equal to $f(\mathbf{t}_i).$ The prior distribution of the vector $\mathbf{f} = (f(\mathbf{t}_1), \ldots, f(\mathbf{t}_n))^t$ is unknown, but lies in a known class $\Omega.$ An estimator, $\hat{\mathbf{f}},$ of $\mathbf{f}$ is found which minimizes the maximum $E\|\hat{\mathbf{f}} - \mathbf{f}\|^2.$ The maximum is taken over all priors in $\Omega$ and the…

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Minimax Estimates in a Semiparametric Model

半参数模型中的极小极大估计

The statistical analysis of multidimensional data has been greatly influenced by the widespread use of computer-intensive smoothing techniques. These techniques allow one to look at the dependency of a response on several covariates without actually specifying the exact form of that dependency. Nevertheless, when the response's dependency on some subset of the covariates can be assumed to be, say, linear, common sense dictates incorporating this assumption into the…

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Minimax Estimates in a Semiparametric Model

半参数模型中的极小极大估计

The statistical analysis of multidimensional data has been greatly influenced by the widespread use of computer-intensive smoothing techniques. These techniques allow one to look at the dependency of a response on several covariates without actually specifying the exact form of that dependency. Nevertheless, when the response's dependency on some subset of the covariates can be assumed to be, say, linear, common sense dictates incorporating this assumption into the…

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Spline Smoothing in a Partly Linear Model

部分线性模型中的样条平滑

SUMMARY Suppose that Yi = X'iβ + f(ti) + εi, 1 ≤ i ≤ n, where β, f, and εi are unknown, but the m-th derivative of f is square integrable. Estimates of β and f are given which minimize the sum of the residual sum of squares and a roughness penalty. It is shown that these estimates are Bayes under a diffuse prior on β and f, and that, under mild conditions on Xi, ti, εi, and the roughness penalty, the estimate of β is consistent and asymptotically normal.

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A Sequential Probability Ratio Test Using a Biased Coin Design

采用偏置硬币分配设计的序贯概率比检验

Consider a sequential probability ratio test comparing two treatments, where each subject receives only one of the treatments. Each subject's treatment assignment is determined by the flip of a biased coin, where the bias serves to balance the number of patients assigned to each treatment. The asymptotic properties of this test are studied, as the sample size approaches infinity. A renewal theorem is given for the joint distribution of the sample size, the imbalance in…

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A Local Limit Theorem for a Biased Coin Design for Sequential Tests

序贯检验偏置硬币设计的局部极限定理

In a clinical comparison of responses to two treatments, patients are admitted sequentially and given one of the two treatments. The allocation is determined randomly, to decrease the possibility of personal bias in the selection of subjects for the test. To balance the assignments, the probability of receiving one treatment is a function of the proportion of patients previously assigned to that treatment. A local limit theorem for the distribution of the number of patients…

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