The cycle of violence in the Second Intifada: Causality in nonlinear vector autoregressive models
第二次巴勒斯坦大起义中的暴力循环：非线性 VAR 的因果分析
Summary We contest Jaeger and Paserman's claim (Jaeger and Paserman , 2008. The cycle of violence? An empirical analysis of fatalities in the Palestinian–Israeli conflict. American Economic Review 98 (4): 1591–1604) that Palestinians did not react to Israeli aggression during Intifada 2. We address the differences between the two sides in terms of the timing and intensity of violence, estimate nonlinear vector autoregression models that are suitable when the linear vector…