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Matrix Completion When Missing Is Not at Random and Its Applications in Causal Panel Data Models

非随机缺失下的矩阵补全及其在因果面板模型中的应用

This paper develops an inferential framework for matrix completion when missing is not at random and without the requirement of strong signals. Our development is based on the observation that if the number of missing entries is small enough compared to the panel size, then they can be estimated well even when missing is not at random. Taking advantage of this fact, we divide the missing entries into smaller groups and estimate each group via nuclear norm regularization. In…

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Higher-Order Least Squares: Assessing Partial Goodness of Fit of Linear Causal Models

高阶最小二乘:评估线性因果模型的局部拟合优度

We introduce a simple diagnostic test for assessing the overall or partial goodness of fit of a linear causal model with errors being independent of the covariates. In particular, we consider situations where hidden confounding is potentially present. We develop a method and discuss its capability to distinguish between covariates that are confounded with the response by latent variables and those that are not. Thus, we provide a test and methodology for partial goodness of…

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FACTORISABLE MULTITASK QUANTILE REGRESSION

具有因子结构的多任务分位数回归

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with multivariate responses with covariates. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which is more flexible than the classical factor models. Assuming the number of factors is small, and the number of responses and the input variables are growing with the sample size, the model is estimated with the nuclear norm regularization. The incurred optimization…

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Composite quantile regression and the oracle model selection theory

复合分位数回归与模型选择的预言机理论

Coefficient estimation and variable selection in multiple linear regression is routinely done in the (penalized) least squares (LS) framework. The concept of model selection oracle introduced by Fan and Li [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 96 (2001) 1348–1360] characterizes the optimal behavior of a model selection procedure. However, the least-squares oracle theory breaks down if the error variance is infinite. In the current paper we propose a new regression method called…

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