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门限自回归模型中的子抽样推断AI 解读

This paper discusses inference in self exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Of main interest is inference for the threshold parameter. It is well-known that the asymptotics of the corresponding estimator depend upon whether the SETAR model is continuous or not. In the continuous case, the limiting distribution is normal and standard inference is possible. In the discontinuous case, the limiting distribution is non-normal and cannot be estimated consistently. We…

含线性时间趋势的自回归模型中的子抽样置信区间AI 解读

A new method is proposed for constructing confidence intervals in autoregressive models with linear time trend. Interest focuses on the sum of the autoregressive coefficients because this parameter provides a useful scalar measure of the long-run persistence properties of an economic time series. Since the type of the limiting distribution of the corresponding OLS estimator, as well as the rate of its convergence, depend in a discontinuous fashion upon whether the true…

异方差时间序列的子抽样推断AI 解读

In this article, a general theory for the construction of confidence intervals or regions in the context of heteroskedastic-dependent data is presented. The basic idea is to approximate the sampling distribution of a statistic based on the values of the statistic computed over smaller subsets of the data. This method was first proposed by Politis and Romano (1994b) for stationary observations. We extend their results to heteroskedastic observations, and prove a general…