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Optimal Plug-in Gaussian Processes for Modeling Derivatives

用于导数建模的最优代入式高斯过程

Derivatives are a key nonparametric functional in wide-ranging applications where the rate of change of an unknown function is of interest. In the Bayesian paradigm, Gaussian processes (GPs) are routinely used as a flexible prior for unknown functions, and are arguably one of the most popular tools in many areas. However, little is known about the optimal modeling strategy and theoretical properties when using GPs for derivatives. In this article, we study a plug-in strategy…

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Semiparametric Bayesian Inference for Local Extrema of Functions in the Presence of Noise

噪声下函数局部极值的半参数贝叶斯推断

There is a wide range of applications where the local extrema of a function are the key quantity of interest. However, there is surprisingly little work on methods to infer local extrema with uncertainty quantification in the presence of noise. By viewing the function as an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter, a semiparametric formulation of this problem poses daunting challenges, both methodologically and theoretically, as (i) the number of local extrema may be unknown,…

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Operator-Induced Structural Variable Selection for Identifying Materials Genes

识别材料基因的算子诱导结构变量选择

In the emerging field of materials informatics, a fundamental task is to identify physicochemically meaningful descriptors, or materials genes, which are engineered from primary features and a set of elementary algebraic operators through compositions. Standard practice directly analyzes the high-dimensional candidate predictor space in a linear model; statistical analyses are then substantially hampered by the daunting challenge posed by the astronomically large number of…

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Comparing and Weighting Imperfect Models Using D-Probabilities

用 D 概率比较和加权不完美模型

), relying on evaluating parametric models relative to a nonparametric Bayesian reference using Kullback-Leibler divergence. D-probabilities are useful in goodness-of-fit assessments, in comparing imperfect models, and in providing model weights to be used in model aggregation. D-probabilities avoid some of the disadvantages of Bayesian model probabilities, such as large sensitivity to prior choice, and tend to place higher weight on a greater diversity of models. In an…

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Bayesian detection of image boundaries

图像边界的贝叶斯检测

Detecting boundary of an image based on noisy observations is a fundamental problem of image processing and image segmentation. For a $d$-dimensional image ($d=2,3,\ldots$), the boundary can often be described by a closed smooth $(d-1)$-dimensional manifold. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach based on priors indexed by $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$, the unit sphere in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. We derive optimal posterior contraction rates for Gaussian processes or…

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