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Identification-robust and simultaneous inference in multifactor asset pricing models

多因子资产定价模型中识别稳健的同时推断

This paper proposes exact identification-robust confidence sets for the zero-beta rate and ex-post factor prices in asset pricing models. Exploiting the information from the cross-sectional intercept allows us to impose or formally test model-consistent restrictions, including those resulting from traded factors in excess of the zero beta-rate or from return spreads. Analytical projection-based solutions for confidence set outcomes are developed. The proposed procedures are…

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Identification-robust beta pricing, spanning, mimicking portfolios, and the benchmark neutrality of catastrophe bonds

识别稳健的贝塔定价、张成检验、模拟组合与巨灾债券基准中性

This paper proposes inference strategies for conditional and unconditional asset pricing models, which cover beta pricing, the zero-beta rate, risk prices, Jensen’s alphas, mean–variance spanning and intersection. We derive analytical conditions that link the identification of the zero-beta rate to spanning. Following finite-sample statistical considerations, the proposed procedures correct for measurement error with mimicking portfolios, and are invariant to fund repacking…

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Exact confidence sets and goodness-of-fit methods for stable distributions

稳定分布的精确置信集合与拟合优度方法

Usual inference methods for stable distributions are typically based on limit distributions. But asymptotic approximations can easily be unreliable in such cases, for standard regularity conditions may not apply or may hold only weakly. This paper proposes finite-sample tests and confidence sets for tail thickness and asymmetry parameters (α and β) of stable distributions. The confidence sets are built by inverting exact goodness-of-fit tests for hypotheses which assign…

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Multivariate Tests of Mean–Variance Efficiency With Possibly Non-Gaussian Errors

允许非高斯误差的均值—方差有效性多元检验

We develop exact mean–variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of (conditional and unconditional) capital asset pricing models (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of possibly non-Gaussian error distributions. The proposed procedures are applicable in a general multivariate linear regression framework, and exactness is achieved through Monte Carlo test techniques. We also perform exact multivariate diagnostic checks. Empirical results show that the…

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