Neural Tangent Kernel in Implied Volatility Forecasting: A Nonlinear Functional Autoregression Approach
隐含波动率预测中的神经切线核:非线性函数自回归方法
Forecasting implied volatility across different levels of moneyness and maturity is crucial yet challenging due to the high dimensionality of the Implied Volatility Surface (IVS) and the nonlinearity that characterizes its temporal dependence. We adopt a Nonlinear Functional Autoregressive (NFAR) framework to a sequence of IVS and employ neural networks that admit a Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) parameterization to capture nonlinear interactions between surfaces. We illustrate…