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Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Autoregressive Spectra

自回归谱的同时置信带

A shortcoming in the use of autoregressive spectral estimation has been the lack of methods for placing confidence intervals or bands on the estimated spectral density. We propose and illustrate a method for determining asymptotic simultaneous confidence bands using Scheffé projections.

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Simultaneous confidence bands for autoregressive spectra

自回归谱的同时置信带

A shortcoming in the use of autoregressive spectral estimation has been the lack of methods for placing confidence intervals or bands on the estimated spectral density. We propose and illustrate a method for determining asymptotic simultaneous confidence bands using Scheffé projections.

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A Method for Determining Periods in Time Series

确定时间序列周期的一种方法

The periods corresponding to peaks in the autoregressive and window spectral density estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of peak periods in the true spectral density under assumptions of known autoregressive order and under slight modifications of the assumptions often made to show the asymptotic normality of window estimators, respectively. The asymptotic variances are obtained, and the use of the theory is illustrated by obtaining an…

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A Method for Determining Periods in Time Series

确定时间序列周期的一种方法

The periods corresponding to peaks in the autoregressive and window spectral density estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of peak periods in the true spectral density under assumptions of known autoregressive order and under slight modifications of the assumptions often made to show the asymptotic normality of window estimators, respectively. The asymptotic variances are obtained, and the use of the theory is illustrated by obtaining an…

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On Periodic and Multiple Autoregressions

周期自回归与多元自回归的分析

A methodology is presented for analyzing periodic autoregressions which is also applicable when inferring the second order properties of periodically correlated processes. In addition, capitalizing on the connection between periodic and multiple autoregressions, a method is set forth for analyzing the latter, which overcomes the usual requirements of a large number of both parameters and computer storage locations. This is achieved by introducing an orthogonal…

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Estimation of Models of Autoregressive Signal Plus White Noise

自回归信号加白噪声模型的估计

If $x(\bullet)$ is a time series which may be written as $x(t) = s(t) + n(t)$ where $t$ is an integer, $s(\bullet)$ an autoregressive signal of order $q$ and $n(\bullet)$ white noise, then the model has $q + 2$ parameters. These are (i) the $q$ autoregressive parameters (ii) the residual variance of the autoregressive scheme and (iii) the variance of the white noise. A method is proposed to estimate the $q + 2$ parameters. This method is based on analogies with regression…

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Approximating Circulant Quadratic Forms in Jointly Stationary Gaussian Time Series

联合平稳高斯时间序列中循环二次型的近似

Let $\{X(t), t = 0, \pm 1, \pm 2,\cdots\}$ be a $p$-dimensional, zero mean, stationary Gaussian time series with matrix-valued covariance function $R(u) = (r_{jk}(u)), u = 0, \pm 1, \pm 2, \cdots; j, k = 1, 2,\cdots, p$. Let $F(\omega)$ be the spectral density matrix of the time series (if $F(\omega)$ exists), and assume that $F(\omega)$ is positive definite for all $\omega\in(0, 2\pi\rbrack$. Let $\hat{F}_X(\omega_l)$ be an estimator of $F(\omega_l)$ formed by averaging $(2n + 1)$…

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