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Testing asset pricing factor models: An out-of-sample perspective

资产定价因子模型检验:样本外视角

We develop the Sample Splitting Alpha (SSA) test, a formal out-of-sample (OOS) test for evaluating whether an asset pricing factor model satisfies the zero-alpha restriction in high-dimensional settings. The test uses sample splitting to separate portfolio weight estimation from model evaluation and ridge regularization to stabilize the portfolio problem when the number of test assets is large. We show that each single split SSA statistic is asymptotically Gaussian under…

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High dimensional alpha test for linear factor pricing model with Lq-norm

高维线性因子定价模型的 Lq 范数 alpha 检验

We consider testing zero pricing errors in high-dimensional linear factor pricing models. Existing methods are mainly based on either an $L_2$ statistic, which is effective under dense alternatives, or an $L_\infty$ statistic, which is powerful under very sparse alternatives. To bridge these two regimes, we develop a class of $L_q$-based tests for finite $q$, including the practically useful $L_4$ and $L_6$ cases. We show that larger $q$ leads to greater sensitivity to…

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High Frequency ANOVA that is Robust to Jumps, Microstructure Noise and Asynchronous Observation Times

对跳跃、微观结构噪声与异步观测稳健的高频方差分析

This paper develops the necessary methodology for high frequency ANOVA, focusing on the estimations of idiosyncratic volatility and averaged R-Squared. As a nonlinear and complicated functional of the spot covariance matrix, idiosyncratic volatility estimation poses significant challenges, particularly with jumps, microstructure noise, and asynchronous observation times. Averaged R-Squared, a newly introduced quantity in high frequency econometrics, provides a measure of…

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High dimensional regression coefficient test with high frequency data

高频数据下的高维回归系数检验

This paper presents the first study on high-dimensional regression coefficient tests with high-frequency financial data. These tests allow the number of regressors to be larger than the number of observations within each estimation block and can grow to infinity in asymptotics. In this paper, the sum-type test and max-type test have been proposed, where the former is suitable for the dense alternative (many small betas) and the latter is suitable for the sparse alternative…

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Robust mutual fund selection with false discovery rate control

控制错误发现率的稳健共同基金筛选

In this article, we address the challenge of identifying well-performing mutual funds among a large pool of candidates, utilizing the linear factor pricing model. Assuming observable factors with a weak correlation structure for the idiosyncratic error, we propose a spatial-sign based multiple testing procedure (SS-BH). When latent factors are present, we first extract them using the elliptical principle component method (He et al. 2022) and then propose a factor-adjusted…

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Adaptive Testing for Alphas in Conditional Factor Models with High Dimensional Assets

高维资产条件因子模型中 alpha 的自适应检验

This article focuses on testing for the presence of alpha in time-varying factor pricing models, specifically when the number of securities N is larger than the time dimension of the return series T. We introduce a maximum-type test that performs well in scenarios where the alternative hypothesis is sparse. We establish the limit null distribution of the proposed maximum-type test statistic and demonstrate its asymptotic independence from the sum-type test statistics…

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A One-Sided Refined Symmetrized Data Aggregation Approach to Robust Mutual Fund Selection

用于稳健共同基金筛选的单侧精细对称化数据聚合方法

We consider the problem of identifying skilled funds among a large number of candidates under the linear factor pricing models containing both observable and latent market factors. Motivated by the existence of non-strong potential factors and diversity of error distribution types of the linear factor pricing models, we develop a distribution-free multiple testing procedure to solve this problem. The proposed procedure is established based on the statistical tool of…

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High-dimensional test for alpha in linear factor pricing models with sparse alternatives

稀疏备择下线性因子定价模型 Alpha 的高维检验

We consider the problem of testing for the presence of alpha in Linear Factor Pricing Models. We propose a novel test of the max-of-squares type, which is designed to deal with the high dimensionality of the securities and the sparse alternatives. We rigorously show that the proposed test has attractive theoretical properties and demonstrate its superior performance via Monte Carlo experiments. These results are established when the number of securities is larger than the…

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