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Testing for common trends in semiparametric panel data models with fixed effects

固定效应半参数面板模型的共同趋势检验

This paper proposes a non‐parametric test for common trends in semi‐parametric panel data models with fixed effects based on a measure of non‐parametric goodness‐of‐fit (R2). We first estimate the model under the null hypothesis of common trends by the method of profile least squares, and obtain the augmented residual which consistently estimates the sum of the fixed effect and the disturbance under the null. Then we run a local linear regression of the augmented residuals…

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Non‐parametric regression under location shifts

位置移动下的非参数回归

Recent work by Wang and Phillips (2009b, 2011) has shown that ill‐posed inverse problems do not arise in non‐stationary non‐parametric regression and there is no need for non‐parametric instrumental variable estimation. Instead, simple Nadaraya–Watson non‐parametric estimation of a cointegrating regression equation is consistent irrespective of the endogeneity in the regressor. The present paper shows that some closely related results apply in the case of structural…

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Estimation and Forecasting of Dynamic Conditional Covariance: A Semiparametric Multivariate Model

动态条件协方差的估计与预测:半参数多变量模型

We propose a semiparametric conditional covariance (SCC) estimator that combines the first-stage parametric conditional covariance (PCC) estimator with the second-stage nonparametric correction estimator in a multiplicative way. We prove the asymptotic normality of our SCC estimator, propose a nonparametric test for the correct specification of PCC models, and study its asymptotic properties. We evaluate the finite sample performance of our test and SCC estimator and compare…

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TESTING STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN PARTIALLY LINEAR MODELS

部分线性模型的结构变化检验

We consider two tests of structural change for partially linear time-series models. The first tests for structural change in the parametric component, based on the cumulative sums of gradients from a single semiparametric regression. The second tests for structural change in the parametric and nonparametric components simultaneously, based on the cumulative sums of weighted residuals from the same semiparametric regression. We derive the limiting distributions of both tests…

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Profile quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of partially linear spatial autoregressive models

部分线性空间自回归模型的剖面准最大似然估计

We propose profile quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of spatial autoregressive models that are partially linear. The rate of convergence of the spatial parameter estimator depends on some general features of the spatial weight matrix of the model. The estimators of other finite-dimensional parameters in the model have the regular -rate of convergence and the estimator of the nonparametric component is consistent but with different restrictions on the choice of bandwidth…

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Semiparametric Estimator of Time Series Conditional Variance

时间序列条件方差的半参数估计量

We propose a new combined semiparametric estimator, which incorporates the parametric and nonparametric estimators of the conditional variance in a multiplicative way. We derive the asymptotic bias, variance, and normality of the combined estimator under general conditions. We show that under correct parametric specification, our estimator can do as well as the parametric estimator in terms of convergence rates; whereas under parametric misspecification our estimator can…

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Testing Conditional Uncorrelatedness

条件不相关性检验

We propose a nonparametric test for conditional uncorrelatedness in multiple-equation models such as seemingly unrelated regressions (SURs), multivariate volatility models, and vector autoregressions (VARs). Under the null hypothesis of conditional uncorrelatedness, the test statistic converges to the standard normal distribution asymptotically. We also study the local power property of the test. Simulation shows that the test behaves quite well in finite samples.

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A NONPARAMETRIC HELLINGER METRIC TEST FOR CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE

基于 Hellinger 距离的非参数条件独立检验

We propose a nonparametric test of conditional independence based on the weighted Hellinger distance between the two conditional densities, f ( y | x , z ) and f ( y | x ), which is identically zero under the null. We use the functional delta method to expand the test statistic around the population value and establish asymptotic normality under β-mixing conditions. We show that the test is consistent and has power against alternatives at distance n −1/2 h − d /4 . The cases…

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Local polynomial estimation of nonparametric simultaneous equations models

非参数联立方程模型的局部多项式估计

We define a new procedure for consistent estimation of nonparametric simultaneous equations models under the conditional mean independence restriction of Newey et al. [1999. Nonparametric estimation of triangular simultaneous equation models. Econometrica 67, 565-603]. It is based upon local polynomial regression and marginal integration techniques. We establish the asymptotic distribution of our estimator under weak data dependence conditions. Simulation evidence suggests…

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MORE EFFICIENT ESTIMATION IN NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION WITH NONPARAMETRIC AUTOCORRELATED ERRORS

非参数自相关误差下非参数回归的更有效估计

We define a three-step procedure for more efficient estimation of the nonparametric regression mean with nonparametric autocorrelated errors. The procedure is based upon a nonparametric prewhitening transformation of the dependent variable that has to be estimated from the data by a local polynomial technique. We establish the asymptotic distribution of our estimator under weak dependence conditions and show that it is more efficient than the conventional local polynomial…

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