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Density Level Sets: Asymptotics, Inference, and Visualization

密度水平集:渐近理论、推断与可视化

We study the plug-in estimator for density level sets under Hausdorff loss. We derive asymptotic theory for this estimator, and based on this theory, we develop two bootstrap confidence regions for level sets. We introduce a new technique for visualizing density level sets, even in multidimensions, which is easy to interpret and efficient to compute. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

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Nonparametric modal regression

非参数众数回归

Modal regression estimates the local modes of the distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$, instead of the mean, as in the usual regression sense, and can hence reveal important structure missed by usual regression methods. We study a simple nonparametric method for modal regression, based on a kernel density estimate (KDE) of the joint distribution of $Y$ and $X$. We derive asymptotic error bounds for this method, and propose techniques for constructing confidence sets and…

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Non-Parametric Inference for Density Modes

密度众数的非参数推断

Summary We derive non-parametric confidence intervals for the eigenvalues of the Hessian at modes of a density estimate. This provides information about the strength and shape of modes and can also be used as a significance test. We use a data-splitting approach in which potential modes are identified by using the first half of the data and inference is done with the second half of the data. To obtain valid confidence sets for the eigenvalues, we use a bootstrap based on an…

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Asymptotic theory for density ridges

密度脊的渐近理论

The large sample theory of estimators for density modes is well understood. In this paper we consider density ridges, which are a higher-dimensional extension of modes. Modes correspond to zero-dimensional, local high-density regions in point clouds. Density ridges correspond to $s$-dimensional, local high-density regions in point clouds. We establish three main results. First we show that under appropriate regularity conditions, the local variation of the estimated ridge…

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Confidence sets for persistence diagrams

持续图的置信集合

Persistent homology is a method for probing topological properties of point clouds and functions. The method involves tracking the birth and death of topological features (2000) as one varies a tuning parameter. Features with short lifetimes are informally considered to be “topological noise,” and those with a long lifetime are considered to be “topological signal.” In this paper, we bring some statistical ideas to persistent homology. In particular, we derive confidence…

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Nonparametric ridge estimation

非参数密度脊估计

We study the problem of estimating the ridges of a density function. Ridge estimation is an extension of mode finding and is useful for understanding the structure of a density. It can also be used to find hidden structure in point cloud data. We show that, under mild regularity conditions, the ridges of the kernel density estimator consistently estimate the ridges of the true density. When the data are noisy measurements of a manifold, we show that the ridges are close and…

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Discussion: “A significance test for the lasso”

讨论:《Lasso 的显著性检验》

The paper by Lockhart, Taylor, Tibshirani and Tibshirani (LTTT) is an important advancement in our understanding of inference for high-dimensional regression.The paper is a tour de force, bringing together an impressive array of results, culminating in a set of very satisfying convergence results.The fact that the test statistic automatically balances the effect of shrinkage and the effect of adaptive variable selection is remarkable.The authors make very strong…

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Distribution-free Prediction Bands for Non-parametric Regression

非参数回归的无分布预测带

Summary We study distribution-free, non-parametric prediction bands with a focus on their finite sample behaviour. First we investigate and develop different notions of finite sample coverage guarantees. Then we give a new prediction band by combining the idea of ‘conformal prediction’ with non-parametric conditional density estimation. The proposed estimator, called COPS (conformal optimized prediction set), always has a finite sample guarantee. Under regularity conditions…

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Density-sensitive semisupervised inference

密度敏感的半监督推断

Semisupervised methods are techniques for using labeled data $(X_{1},Y_{1}),\ldots,(X_{n},Y_{n})$ together with unlabeled data $X_{n+1},\ldots,X_{N}$ to make predictions. These methods invoke some assumptions that link the marginal distribution $P_{X}$ of $X$ to the regression function $f(x)$. For example, it is common to assume that $f$ is very smooth over high density regions of $P_{X}$. Many of the methods are ad-hoc and have been shown to work in specific examples but…

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Distribution-Free Prediction Sets

无分布假设的预测集

This paper introduces a new approach to prediction by bringing together two different nonparametric ideas: distribution free inference and nonparametric smoothing. Specifically, we consider the problem of constructing nonparametric tolerance/prediction sets. We start from the general conformal prediction approach and we use a kernel density estimator as a measure of agreement between a sample point and the underlying distribution. The resulting prediction set is shown to be…

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High-dimensional semiparametric Gaussian copula graphical models

高维半参数高斯 Copula 图模型

We propose a semiparametric approach called the nonparanormal SKEPTIC for efficiently and robustly estimating high-dimensional undirected graphical models. To achieve modeling flexibility, we consider the nonparanormal graphical models proposed by Liu, Lafferty and Wasserman [J. Mach. Learn. Res. 10 (2009) 2295–2328]. To achieve estimation robustness, we exploit nonparametric rank-based correlation coefficient estimators, including Spearman’s rho and Kendall’s tau. We prove…

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The Geometry of Nonparametric Filament Estimation

非参数丝状结构估计的几何学

We consider the problem of estimating filamentary structure from d-dimensional point process data. We make some connections with computational geometry and develop nonparametric methods for estimating the filaments. We show that, under weak conditions, the filaments have a simple geometric representation as the medial axis of the data distribution’s support. Our methods convert an estimator of the support’s boundary into an estimator of the filaments. We also find the rates…

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Manifold estimation and singular deconvolution under Hausdorff loss

Hausdorff 损失下的流形估计与奇异反卷积

We find lower and upper bounds for the risk of estimating a manifold in Hausdorff distance under several models. We also show that there are close connections between manifold estimation and the problem of deconvolving a singular measure.

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Generalized density clustering

广义密度聚类

We study generalized density-based clustering in which sharply defined clusters such as clusters on lower-dimensional manifolds are allowed. We show that accurate clustering is possible even in high dimensions. We propose two data-based methods for choosing the bandwidth and we study the stability properties of density clusters. We show that a simple graph-based algorithm successfully approximates the high density clusters.

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A Statistical Framework for Differential Privacy

差分隐私的统计框架

One goal of statistical privacy research is to construct a data release mechanism that protects individual privacy while preserving information content. An example is a random mechanism that takes an input database X and outputs a random database Z according to a distribution Qn(⋅|X). Differential privacy is a particular privacy requirement developed by computer scientists in which Qn(⋅|X) is required to be insensitive to changes in one data point in X. This makes it…

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On the path density of a gradient field

梯度场的路径密度

We consider the problem of reliably finding filaments in point clouds. Realistic data sets often have numerous filaments of various sizes and shapes. Statistical techniques exist for finding one (or a few) filaments but these methods do not handle noisy data sets with many filaments. Other methods can be found in the astronomy literature but they do not have rigorous statistical guarantees. We propose the following method. Starting at each data point we construct the…

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Sparse Additive Models

稀疏加性模型

Summary We present a new class of methods for high dimensional non-parametric regression and classification called sparse additive models. Our methods combine ideas from sparse linear modelling and additive non-parametric regression. We derive an algorithm for fitting the models that is practical and effective even when the number of covariates is larger than the sample size. Sparse additive models are essentially a functional version of the grouped lasso of Yuan and Lin.…

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High-dimensional variable selection

高维变量选择

This paper explores the following question: what kind of statistical guarantees can be given when doing variable selection in high dimensional models? In particular, we look at the error rates and power of some multi-stage regression methods. In the first stage we fit a set of candidate models. In the second stage we select one model by cross-validation. In the third stage we use hypothesis testing to eliminate some variables. We refer to the first two stages as "screening"…

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Adaptive confidence bands

自适应置信带

We show that there do not exist adaptive confidence bands for curve estimation except under very restrictive assumptions. We propose instead to construct adaptive bands that cover a surrogate function f⋆ which is close to, but simpler than, f. The surrogate captures the significant features in f. We establish lower bounds on the width for any confidence band for f⋆ and construct a procedure that comes within a small constant factor of attaining the lower bound for…

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Rodeo: Sparse, greedy nonparametric regression

Rodeo:稀疏、贪心的非参数回归

We present a greedy method for simultaneously performing local bandwidth selection and variable selection in nonparametric regression. The method starts with a local linear estimator with large bandwidths, and incrementally decreases the bandwidth of variables for which the gradient of the estimator with respect to bandwidth is large. The method—called rodeo (regularization of derivative expectation operator)—conducts a sequence of hypothesis tests to threshold derivatives,…

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False discovery control with p-value weighting

通过p值加权控制错误发现

We present a method for multiple hypothesis testing that maintains control of the false discovery rate while incorporating prior information about the hypotheses. The prior information takes the form of p-value weights. If the assignment of weights is positively associated with the null hypotheses being false, the procedure improves power, except in cases where power is already near one. Even if the assignment of weights is poor, power is only reduced slightly, as long as…

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Confidence sets for nonparametric wavelet regression

非参数小波回归的置信集

We construct nonparametric confidence sets for regression functions using wavelets that are uniform over Besov balls. We consider both thresholding and modulation estimators for the wavelet coefficients. The confidence set is obtained by showing that a pivot process, constructed from the loss function, converges uniformly to a mean zero Gaussian process. Inverting this pivot yields a confidence set for the wavelet coefficients, and from this we obtain confidence sets on…

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A stochastic process approach to false discovery control

错误发现控制的随机过程方法

This paper extends the theory of false discovery rates (FDR) pioneered by Benjamini and Hochberg [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 57 (1995) 289–300]. We develop a framework in which the False Discovery Proportion (FDP)—the number of false rejections divided by the number of rejections—is treated as a stochastic process. After obtaining the limiting distribution of the process, we demonstrate the validity of a class of procedures for controlling the False Discovery Rate (the…

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Outlier Detection and False Discovery Rates for Whole-Genome DNA Matching

全基因组 DNA 匹配中的异常检测与错误发现率

We define a statistic, called the matching statistic, for locating regions of the genome that exhibit excess similarity among cases when compared to controls. Such regions are reasonable candidates for harboring disease genes. We find the asymptotic distribution of the statistic while accounting for correlations among sampled individuals. We then use the Benjamini and Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) method for multiple hypothesis testing to find regions of excess…

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