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非线性网络自回归AI 解读

We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous-valued data. The vector of high-dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed nonlinearly on its lagged value and on lagged values of the neighboring nodes by employing a smooth link function. We study stability conditions for such multivariate process and develop quasi-maximum likelihood inference when the network dimension is increasing. In addition, we…

计数时间序列：方法综述AI 解读

A growing interest in non-Gaussian time series, particularly in series comprised of nonnegative integers (counts), is taking place in today’s statistics literature. Count series naturally arise in fields, such as agriculture, economics, epidemiology, finance, geology, meteorology, and sports. Unlike stationary Gaussian series where autoregressive moving-averages are the primary modeling vehicle, no single class of models dominates the count landscape. As such, the literature…

利用鞍点近似进行 INAR(p) 模型的似然估计AI 解读

Xanthi Pedeli, Anthony C. Davison & Konstantinos FokianosXanthi Pedeli, Department of Statistics, Athens University of Economics & Business, 10434 Athens, Greece (E-mail: ). Anthony C. Davison, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, EPFL-FSB-MATHAA-STAT, Station 8, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland (E-mail: ). Konstantinos Fokianos, Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Cyprus, 1678 Nicosia, Cyprus (E-mail: ). X. Pedeli and K. Fokianos are supported by the…

泊松自回归AI 解读

In this article we consider geometric ergodicity and likelihood-based inference for linear and nonlinear Poisson autoregression. In the linear case, the conditional mean is linked linearly to its past values, as well as to the observed values of the Poisson process. This also applies to the conditional variance, making possible interpretation as an integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity process. In a nonlinear conditional Poisson model, the…

半参数密度估计中的信息合并AI 解读

Summary The density ratio model specifies that the likelihood ratio of m−1 probability density functions with respect to the mth is of known parametric form without reference to any parametric model. We study the semiparametric inference problem that is related to the density ratio model by appealing to the methodology of empirical likelihood. The combined data from all the samples leads to more efficient kernel density estimators for the unknown distributions. We adopt…