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From Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimates to the Method of Generalized Cross Validation

从 Stein 无偏风险估计到广义交叉验证

This paper concerns the method of generalized cross validation (GCV), a promising way of choosing between linear estimates. Based on Stein estimates and the associated unbiased risk estimates (Stein, 1981), a new approach to GCV is developed. Many consistency results are obtained for the cross-validated (Steinized) estimates in the contexts of nearest-neighbor nonparametric regression, model selection, ridge regression, and smoothing splines. Moreover, the associated Stein's…

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The Data-Smoothing Aspect of Stein Estimates

Stein估计的数据平滑性质

The data smoothing aspect of Stein estimates is explored in the nonparametric regression settings. We show that appropriately shrinking the raw data towards any linear smoother will provide a robust "smoother" (which dominates the raw data and hence has a bounded maximum risk when the average squared error loss is concerned).

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Regression Models with Infinitely Many Parameters: Consistency of Bounded Linear Functionals

无限参数回归模型中有界线性泛函的一致估计

Consider a linear model with infinitely many parameters given by $y = \sum^\infty_{i = 1} x_i\theta_i + \varepsilon$ where $\mathbf{x} = (x_1, x_2, \cdots)'$ and $\theta = (\theta_1, \theta_2, \cdots)'$ are infinite dimensional vectors such that $\sum^\infty_{i = 1}x^2_i < \infty$ and $\sum^\infty_{i = 1} \theta^2_i < \infty$. Suppose independent observations $y_1, y_2, \cdots, y_n$ are observed at levels $\mathbf{x}_1, \mathbf{x}_2, \cdots, \mathbf{x}_n$. Under suitable…

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Robust Regression Designs when the Design Space Consists of Finitely Many Points

We consider the nearly linear regression problem when the assumed first degree model is contaminated by some small constant, and the design space consists of finitely many points, symmetrically distributed on the interval $\lbrack -1/2, 1/2\rbrack$. Under the usual squared loss function for the estimation of the slope and the intercept, and with the use of the least squares estimators, the problem is to find the designs which are optimal in the sense of minimizing the…

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Consistency for Cross-Validated Nearest Neighbor Estimates in Nonparametric Regression

非参数回归中交叉验证近邻估计的一致性

Under suitable conditions, we show that the cross-validated nearest neighbor estimates for the unknown smooth regression function in $R^p$ is asymptotically consistent.

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A Minimax Approach to Sample Surveys

抽样调查的极小极大方法

Suppose that there is a population of $N$ identifiable units each with two associated values $x_i$ and $y_i$. All $N$ values of $x$ are given but $y_i$ is determined only after the $i$th unit is selected and observed. The objective is to estimate the population total $\sum^N_{i=1} y_i$. It is assumed that $y_i = \theta x_i + \delta_ig(x_i), 1 \leq i \leq N$, where $(\delta_1, \cdots, \delta_N)$ is in some bounded neighborhood of $(0, \cdots 0)$. The Rao-Hartley-Cochran and…

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Minimaxity for Randomized Designs: Some General Results

随机化设计的极小极大性:若干一般结果

In many design settings where model violations are present, a "stochastic" minimaxity for many standard randomization procedures is demonstrated. This result requires no special analytic properties of the loss function and estimators. Next, under the squared loss and with the restriction to the use of linear estimators, a recipe for finding a randomized strategy is given. As a special case, randomizing an $A$-optimal design in the standard manner and using the least squares…

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Minimaxity of the Method of Regularization of Stochastic Processes

随机过程正则化方法的极小极大性

The idea of smoothing-spline interpolation is generalized to propose an estimator for the mean function of a stochastic process. A minimax property of the proposed estimator is then demonstrated under the usual squared loss function.

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