Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales
弓头鲸确定性种群动力学模型的统计推断
We consider the problem of inference about a quantity of interest given different sources of information linked by a deterministic population dynamics model. Our approach consists of translating all the available information into a joint premodel distribution on all the model inputs and outputs and then restricting this to the submanifold defined by the model to obtain the joint postmodel distribution. Marginalizing this yields inference, conditional on the model, about…