Maximum-Entropy Prior Uncertainty and Correlation of Statistical Economic Data
经济统计数据的最大熵先验不确定性与相关性
Empirical estimates of source statistical economic data such as trade flows, greenhouse gas emissions, or employment figures are always subject to uncertainty (stemming from measurement errors or confidentiality) but information concerning that uncertainty is often missing. This article uses concepts from Bayesian inference and the maximum entropy principle to estimate the prior probability distribution, uncertainty, and correlations of source data when such information is…