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非凹惩罚似然变量选择及其 Oracle 性质AI 解读

Variable selection is fundamental to high-dimensional statistical modeling, including nonparametric regression. Many approaches in use are stepwise selection procedures, which can be computationally expensive and ignore stochastic errors in the variable selection process. In this article, penalized likelihood approaches are proposed to handle these kinds of problems. The proposed methods select variables and estimate coefficients simultaneously. Hence they enable us to…

小波逼近的正则化AI 解读

In this paper, we introduce nonlinear regularized wavelet estimators for estimating nonparametric regression functions when sampling points are not uniformly spaced. The approach can apply readily to many other statistical contexts. Various new penalty functions are proposed. The hard-thresholding and soft-thresholding estimators of Donoho and Johnstone are specific members of nonlinear regularized wavelet estimators. They correspond to the lower and upper envelopes of a…

参数回归模型的拟合优度检验AI 解读

Several new tests are proposed for examining the adequacy of a family of parametric models against large nonparametric alternatives. These tests formally check if the bias vector of residuals from parametric fits is negligible by using the adaptive Neyman test and other methods. The testing procedures formalize the traditional model diagnostic tools based on residual plots. We examine the rates of contiguous alternatives that can be detected consistently by the adaptive…

广义似然比统计量与 Wilks 现象AI 解读

Likelihood ratio theory has had tremendous success in parametric inference, due to the fundamental theory of Wilks. Yet, there is no general applicable approach for nonparametric inferences based on function estimation. Maximum likelihood ratio test statistics in general may not exist in nonparametric function estimation setting. Even if they exist, they are hard to find and can not be optimal as shown in this paper. We introduce the generalized likelihood statistics to…

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非线性时间序列的函数系数回归模型AI 解读

The local linear regression technique is applied to estimation of functional-coefficient regression models for time series data. The models include threshold autoregressive models and functional-coefficient autoregressive models as special cases but with the added advantages such as depicting finer structure of the underlying dynamics and better postsample forecasting performance. Also proposed are a new bootstrap test for the goodness of fit of models and a bandwidth…

似然比统计量的几何理解AI 解读

It is well known that twice a log-likelihood ratio statistic follows asymptotically a chi-square distribution. The result is usually understood and proved via Taylor's expansions of likelihood functions and by assuming asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs). We obtain more general results by using a different approach: The Wilks type of results hold as long as likelihood contour sets are fan-shaped. The classical Wilks theorem corresponds to the…

变系数模型的高效估计与推断AI 解读

This article deals with statistical inferences based on the varying-coefficient models proposed by Hastie and Tibshirani. Local polynomial regression techniques are used to estimate coefficient functions, and the asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators is established. The standard error formulas for estimated coefficients are derived and are empirically tested. A goodness-of-fit test technique, based on a nonparametric maximum likelihood ratio type of test, is also…

似然比统计量的几何理解AI 解读

It is well known that twice a log-likelihood ratio statistic follows asymptotically a chi-square distribution. The result is usually understood and proved via Taylor's expansions of likelihood functions and by assuming asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs). We obtain more general results by using a different approach: The Wilks type of results hold as long as likelihood contour sets are fan-shaped. The classical Wilks theorem corresponds to the…

函数线性模型的两步估计及其纵向数据应用AI 解读

Summary Functional linear models are useful in longitudinal data analysis. They include many classical and recently proposed statistical models for longitudinal data and other functional data. Recently, smoothing spline and kernel methods have been proposed for estimating their coefficient functions nonparametrically but these methods are either intensive in computation or inefficient in performance. To overcome these drawbacks, in this paper, a simple and powerful two-step…

一步局部拟似然估计AI 解读

Summary Local quasi-likelihood estimation is a useful extension of local least squares methods, but its computational cost and algorithmic convergence problems make the procedure less appealing, particularly when it is iteratively used in methods such as the back-fitting algorithm, cross-validation and bootstrapping. A one-step local quasi-likelihood estimator is introduced to overcome the computational drawbacks of the local quasi-likelihood method. We demonstrate that as…

变系数模型中的统计估计AI 解读

Varying coefficient models are a useful extension of classical linear models. They arise naturally when one wishes to examine how regression coefficients change over different groups characterized by certain covariates such as age. The appeal of these models is that the coef .cient functions can easily be estimated via a simple local regression.This yields a simple one-step estimation procedure. We show that such a one-step method cannot be optimal when different coefficient…

局部最大似然估计与推断AI 解读

Summary Local maximum likelihood estimation is a nonparametric counterpart of the widely used parametric maximum likelihood technique. It extends the scope of the parametric maximum likelihood method to a much wider class of parametric spaces. Associated with this nonparametric estimation scheme is the issue of bandwidth selection and bias and variance assessment. This paper provides a unified approach to selecting a bandwidth and constructing confidence intervals in local…

加性模型中低维分量的直接估计AI 解读

Additive regression models have turned out to be a useful statistical tool in analyses of high-dimensional data sets. Recently, an estimator of additive components has been introduced by Linton and Nielsen which is based on marginal integration. The explicit definition of this estimator makes possible a fast computation and allows an asymptotic distribution theory. In this paper an asymptotic treatment of this estimate is offered for several models. A modification of this…

自动边界修正AI 解读

Many popular curve estimators based on smoothing have difficulties caused by boundary effects. These effects are visually disturbing in practice and can play a dominant role in theoretical analysis. Local polynomial regression smoothers are known to correct boundary effects automatically. Some analogs are implemented for density estimation and the resulting estimators also achieve automatic boundary corrections. In both settings of density and regression estimation, we…

风险回归中的局部似然与局部偏似然AI 解读

In survival analysis, the relationship between a survival time and a covariate is conveniently modeled with the proportional hazards regression model. This model usually assumes that the covariate has a log-linear effect on the hazard function. In this paper we consider the proportional hazards regression model with a nonparametric risk effect. We discuss estimation of the risk function and its derivatives in two cases: when the baseline hazard function is parametrized and…

广义部分线性单指标模型AI 解读

The typical generalized linear model for a regression of a response Y on predictors (X, Z) has conditional mean function based on a linear combination of (X, Z). We generalize these models to have a nonparametric component, replacing the linear combination α T 0X + β T 0Z by η0(α T 0X) + β T 0Z, where η0(·) is an unknown function. We call these generalized partially linear single-index models (GPLSIM). The models include the “single-index” models, which have β0 = 0. Using…

基于小波阈值与 Neyman 截断的显著性检验AI 解读

Traditional nonparametric tests, such as the Kolmogorov—Smirnov test and the Cramér—Von Mises test, are based on the empirical distribution functions. Although these tests possess root-n consistency, they effectively use only information contained in the low frequencies. This leads to low power in detecting fine features such as sharp and short aberrants as well as global features such as high-frequency alternations. The drawback can be repaired via smoothing-based test…

非参数曲线估计的局部平滑AI 解读

We develop new local versions of familiar smoothing methods, such as cross-validation and smoothed cross-validation, in the contexts of density estimation and regression. These new methods are locally adaptive in the sense that they capture smooth local fluctuations in the curve by using smoothly varying bandwidths that change as the character of the curve changes. Moreover, the new methods are accurate, easy to apply, and computationally expedient.

非参数曲线估计的局部平滑AI 解读

We develop new local versions of familiar smoothing methods, such as cross-validation and smoothed cross-validation, in the contexts of density estimation and regression. These new methods are locally adaptive in the sense that they capture smooth local fluctuations in the curve by using smoothly varying bandwidths that change as the character of the curve changes. Moreover, the new methods are accurate, easy to apply, and computationally expedient.

局部多项式拟合的数据驱动带宽选择：可变带宽与空间适应AI 解读

SUMMARY When estimating a mean regression function and its derivatives, locally weighted least squares regression has proven to be a very attractive technique. The present paper focuses on the important issue of how to select the smoothing parameter or bandwidth. In the case of estimating curves with a complicated structure, a variable bandwidth is desirable. Furthermore, the bandwidth should be indicated by the data themselves. Recent developments in nonparametric smoothing…

广义线性模型与拟似然中的局部多项式核回归AI 解读

We investigate the extension of the nonparametric regression technique of local polynomial fitting with a kernel weight to generalized linear models and quasi-likelihood contexts. In the ordinary regression case, local polynomial fitting has been seen to have several appealing features in terms of intuitive and mathematical simplicity. One noteworthy feature is the better performance near the boundaries compared to the traditional kernel regression estimators. These…

通过最小化平均绝对偏差估计曲线及其含义AI 解读

The local median regression method has long been known as a robustified alternative to methods such as local mean regression. Yet, its optimal statistical properties are largely unknown. In this paper, we show via decision-theoretic arguments that a local weighted median estimator is the best least absolute deviation estimator in an asymptotic minimax sense, under $L_1$-loss. We also study asymptotic efficiency of the local median estimator in the class of all possible…