论文检索

基于奇异值分解与小波阈值的混频时间序列季节调整AI 解读

In this article, we propose a novel seasonal adjustment method that accommodates time series observed at mixed frequencies and possessing possibly multiple abrupt changes in seasonality. We assume that the observed series is a known linear transformation of an underlying high frequency series whose seasonal component can be represented as a matrix with a low rank Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) structure, and the nonseasonal component is difference stationary. The right…

计算机模型函数校准的再生核希尔伯特空间方法AI 解读

This article develops a frequentist solution to the functional calibration problem, where the value of a calibration parameter in a computer model is allowed to vary with the value of control variables in the physical system. The need of functional calibration is motivated by engineering applications where using a constant calibration parameter results in a significant mismatch between outputs from the computer model and the physical experiment. Reproducing kernel Hilbert…

凹扩展线性模型中惩罚样条估计量的渐近性质：收敛速率AI 解读

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that includes conditional likelihood, quasi-likelihood and pseudo-likelihood. The theory allows all feasible combinations of the spline degree, the penalty order and the smoothness of the unknown functions. According to this theory, the…

基于正则化奇异值分解的时间序列季节调整AI 解读

We propose a new seasonal adjustment method based on the Regularized Singular Value Decomposition (RSVD) of the matrix obtained by reshaping the seasonal time series data. The method is flexible enough to capture two kinds of seasonality: the fixed seasonality that does not change over time and the time-varying seasonality that varies from one season to another. RSVD represents the time-varying seasonality by a linear combination of several seasonal patterns. The right…

多协变量多元变系数模型中的降维与变量选择AI 解读

Motivated by the study of gene and environment interactions, we consider a multivariate response varying-coefficient model with a large number of covariates. The need of nonparametrically estimating a large number of coefficient functions given relatively limited data poses a big challenge for fitting such a model. To overcome the challenge, we develop a method that incorporates three ideas: (i) reduce the number of unknown functions to be estimated by using (noncentered)…

多个二元密度函数的联合估计及其在蛋白质环建模中的应用AI 解读

This article develops a method for simultaneous estimation of density functions for a collection of populations of protein backbone angle pairs using a data-driven, shared basis that is constructed by bivariate spline functions defined on a triangulation of the bivariate domain. The circular nature of angular data is taken into account by imposing appropriate smoothness constraints across boundaries of the triangles. Maximum penalized likelihood is used to fit the model and…

通过自适应基函数抽样高效计算平滑样条AI 解读

Smoothing splines provide flexible nonparametric regression estimators. However, the high computational cost of smoothing splines for large datasets has hindered their wide application. In this article, we develop a new method, named adaptive basis sampling, for efficient computation of smoothing splines in super-large samples. Except for the univariate case where the Reinsch algorithm is applicable, a smoothing spline for a regression problem with sample size n can be…

留受试者交叉验证的渐近最优性与高效计算AI 解读

Although the leave-subject-out cross-validation (CV) has been widely used in practice for tuning parameter selection for various nonparametric and semiparametric models of longitudinal data, its theoretical property is unknown and solving the associated optimization problem is computationally expensive, especially when there are multiple tuning parameters. In this paper, by focusing on the penalized spline method, we show that the leave-subject-out CV is optimal in the sense…

同时降维与变量选择的稀疏降秩回归AI 解读

The reduced-rank regression is an effective method in predicting multiple response variables from the same set of predictor variables. It reduces the number of model parameters and takes advantage of interrelations between the response variables and hence improves predictive accuracy. We propose to select relevant variables for reduced-rank regression by using a sparsity-inducing penalty. We apply a group-lasso type penalty that treats each row of the matrix of the…

大型空间数据协方差函数的全尺度近似AI 解读

Summary Gaussian process models have been widely used in spatial statistics but face tremendous computational challenges for very large data sets. The model fitting and spatial prediction of such models typically require O(n3) operations for a data set of size n. Various approximations of the covariance functions have been introduced to reduce the computational cost. However, most existing approximations cannot simultaneously capture both the large- and the small-scale…

一般半参数 M 估计的 Bootstrap 一致性AI 解读

Consider M-estimation in a semiparametric model that is characterized by a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. As a general purpose approach to statistical inferences, the bootstrap has found wide applications in semiparametric M-estimation and, because of its simplicity, provides an attractive alternative to the inference approach based on the asymptotic distribution theory. The purpose of this paper is to provide theoretical…

空间相关层级函数数据的降秩混合效应模型AI 解读

Hierarchical functional data are widely seen in complex studies where sub-units are nested within units, which in turn are nested within treatment groups. We propose a general framework of functional mixed effects model for such data: within unit and within sub-unit variations are modeled through two separate sets of principal components; the sub-unit level functions are allowed to be correlated. Penalized splines are used to model both the mean functions and the principal…

利用双向正则化奇异值分解分析双向函数型数据AI 解读

Two-way functional data consist of a data matrix whose row and column domains are both structured, for example, temporally or spatially, as when the data are time series collected at different locations in space. We extend one-way functional principal component analysis (PCA) to two-way functional data by introducing regularization of both left and right singular vectors in the singular value decomposition (SVD) of the data matrix. We focus on a penalization approach and…

重复测量分析中非参数变系数模型的变量选择AI 解读

Nonparametric varying-coefficient models are commonly used for analysis of data measured repeatedly over time, including longitudinal and functional responses data. While many procedures have been developed for estimating the varying-coefficients, the problem of variable selection for such models has not been addressed. In this article, we present a regularized estimation procedure for variable selection that combines basis function approximations and the smoothly clipped…

通过惩罚正态似然选择与估计协方差矩阵AI 解读

We propose a nonparametric method for identifying parsimony and for producing a statistically efficient estimator of a large covariance matrix. We reparameterise a covariance matrix through the modified Cholesky decomposition of its inverse or the one-step-ahead predictive representation of the vector of responses and reduce the nonintuitive task of modelling covariance matrices to the familiar task of model selection and estimation for a sequence of regression models. The…

非线性加性自回归模型的滞后识别AI 解读

Summary We propose a lag selection method for non-linear additive autoregressive models that is based on spline estimation and the Bayes information criterion. The additive structure of the autoregression function is used to overcome the ‘curse of dimensionality’, whereas the spline estimators effectively take into account such a structure in estimation. A stepwise procedure is suggested to implement the method proposed. A comprehensive Monte Carlo study demonstrates good…

多项式样条回归的局部渐近理论AI 解读

In this paper we develop a general theory of local asymptotics for least squares estimates over polynomial spline spaces in a regression problem. The polynomial spline spaces we consider include univariate splines, tensor product splines, and bivariate or multivariate splines on triangulations. We establish asymptotic normality of the estimate and study the magnitude of the bias due to spline approximation. The asymptotic normality holds uniformly over the points where the…

比例风险回归的函数型 ANOVA 建模AI 解读

The logarithm of the relative risk function in a proportional hazards model involving one or more possibly time-dependent covariates is treated as a specified sum of a constant term, main effects, and selected interaction terms. Maximum partial likelihood estimation is used, where the maximization is taken over a suitably chosen finite-dimensional estimation space, whose dimension increases with the sample size and which is constructed from linear spaces of functions of one…

多元回归的投影估计及其在函数型 ANOVA 模型中的应用AI 解读

A general theory on rates of convergence of the least-squares projection estimate in multiple regression is developed. The theory is applied to the functional ANOVA model, where the multivariate regression function is modeled as a specified sum of a constant term, main effects (functions of one variable) and selected interaction terms (functions of two or more variables). The least-squares projection is onto an approximating space constructed from arbitrary linear spaces of…