论文检索

波动率估计的耦合理论AI 解读

This paper provides a strong approximation, or coupling, theory for spot volatility estimators formed using high-frequency data. We show that the t-statistic process associated with the nonparametric spot volatility estimator can be strongly approximated by a growing-dimensional vector of independent variables defined as functions of Brownian increments. We use this coupling theory to study the uniform inference for the volatility process in an infill asymptotic setting.…

基于逐笔观测的积分波动率估计AI 解读

We develop a volatility estimator that can be directly applied to tick-by- tick data. More specifically, we consider a model that allows for (i) irregular observation times that can be endogenous, (ii) dependent noise that can have diurnal features and be dependent on the latent price process, and (iii) jumps in the latent price process. We show that our estimator yields consistent estimates and enjoys the optimal rate of convergence. Simulation as well as empirical studies…

价格跳跃与波动率跳跃不相关性的检验AI 解读

We consider a log-price process Xt, which is observed at discrete times 0,Δn, 2Δn,…, and the process has a stochastic squared volatility σt2. Assuming that the price process as well as the volatility process have common jumps, we suggest tests for non-correlation between log-price and squared volatility jumps, or functions of such jumps. Our tests have a prescribed asymptotic level, as the mesh Δn tends to 0 and the observation time Tn tends to ∞. The finite sample…

微观结构噪声的统计性质AI 解读

We study the estimation of (joint) moments of microstructure noise based on high frequency data. The estimation is conducted under a nonparametric setting, which allows the underlying price process to have jumps, the observation times to be irregularly spaced, and the noise to be dependent on the price process and to have diurnal features. Estimators of arbitrary orders of (joint) moments are provided, for which we establish consistency as well as central limit theorems. In…

存在跳跃时积分波动率估计收敛速度的一点说明AI 解读

The optimal rate of convergence of estimators of the integrated volatility, for a discontinuous Itô semimartingale sampled at regularly spaced times and over a fixed time interval, has been a long-standing problem, at least when the jumps are not summable. In this paper, we study this optimal rate, in the minimax sense and for appropriate “bounded” nonparametric classes of semimartingales. We show that, if the $r$th powers of the jumps are summable for some $r\in[0,2)$, the…

存在无限变差跳跃时积分波动率的有效估计AI 解读

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an Itô semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the optimal rate and variance of estimating integrated volatility even in the presence of infinite variation jumps when the latter are stochastic integrals with respect to locally “stable” Lévy processes, that is, processes whose Lévy measure…

波动率过程秩的检验：随机扰动方法AI 解读

In this paper, we present a test for the maximal rank of the matrix-valued volatility process in the continuous Itô semimartingale framework. Our idea is based upon a random perturbation of the original high frequency observations of an Itô semimartingale, which opens the way for rank testing. We develop the complete limit theory for the test statistic and apply it to various null and alternative hypotheses. Finally, we demonstrate a homoscedasticity test for the rank…

四次变差及其他波动率泛函的有效估计AI 解读

We consider a multidimensional Itô semimartingale regularly sampled on $[0,t]$ at high frequency $1/\Delta_{n}$, with $\Delta_{n}$ going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over $[0,t]$ of a given function of the volatility matrix. To approximate the integral, we simply use a Riemann sum based on local estimators of the pointwise volatility. We show that although the accuracy of the pointwise estimation is at most $\Delta_{n}^{1/4}$,…

离散观测过程的逐级 Blumenthal–Getoor 指数识别AI 解读

This paper studies the identification of the Lévy jump measure of a discretely-sampled semimartingale. We define successive Blumenthal–Getoor indices of jump activity, and show that the leading index can always be identified, but that higher order indices are only identifiable if they are sufficiently close to the previous one, even if the path is fully observed. This result establishes a clear boundary on which aspects of the jump measure can be identified on the basis of…

含噪高频数据中的跳跃检验AI 解读

This paper proposes a robustification of the test statistic of Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2009b) for the presence of market microstructure noise in high frequency data, based on the pre-averaging method of Jacod et al. (2010). We show that the robustified statistic restores the test’s discriminating power between jumps and no jumps despite the presence of market microstructure noise in the data.

检验跳跃具有有限活动性还是无限活动性AI 解读

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take the null hypothesis to be finite activity, or infinite activity. When implemented on high-frequency stock returns, both tests point toward the presence of infinite-activity jumps in the data.

高频数据建模是否需要布朗运动？AI 解读

This paper considers the problem of testing for the presence of a continuous part in a semimartingale sampled at high frequency. We provide two tests, one where the null hypothesis is that a continuous component is present, the other where the continuous component is absent, and the model is then driven by a pure jump process. When applied to high-frequency individual stock data, both tests point toward the need to include a continuous component in the model.

离散观测过程叠加噪声的移动平均极限定理AI 解读

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634–658, Stochastic Process. Appl. 119 (2009) 2249–2276]) and provides consistent estimates for various characteristics of general semimartingales. Furthermore, we prove the associated multidimensional (stable) central limit theorems. As expected, we…

高频数据中跳跃活动程度的估计AI 解读

We define a generalized index of jump activity, propose estimators of that index for a discretely sampled process and derive the estimators’ properties. These estimators are applicable despite the presence of Brownian volatility in the process, which makes it more challenging to infer the characteristics of the small, infinite activity jumps. When the method is applied to high frequency stock returns, we find evidence of infinitely active jumps in the data and estimate their…

离散观测多维过程的共同跳跃检验AI 解读

We consider a bivariate process Xt=(Xt1, Xt2), which is observed on a finite time interval [0, T] at discrete times 0, Δn, 2Δn, …. Assuming that its two components X1 and X2 have jumps on [0, T], we derive tests to decide whether they have at least one jump occurring at the same time (“common jumps”) or not (“disjoint jumps”). There are two different tests for the two possible null hypotheses (common jumps or disjoint jumps). Those tests have a prescribed asymptotic level,…

离散观测过程中的跳跃检验AI 解读

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and known value (such as 2) if there are no jumps. The test is valid for all Itô semimartingales, depends neither on the law of the process nor on the coefficients of the equation which it solves, does not require a preliminary estimation of…

离散采样 Lévy 过程的费舍尔信息AI 解读

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of Fisher's information for a Lévy process discretely sampled at an increasing frequency. As a result, we derive the optimal rates of convergence of efficient estimators of the different parameters of the process and show that the rates are often nonstandard and differ across parameters. We also show that it is possible to distinguish the continuous part of the process from its jumps part, and even different types of jumps from one…

离散采样 Lévy 过程的波动率估计AI 解读

This paper studies the estimation of the volatility parameter in a model where the driving process is a Brownian motion or a more general symmetric stable process that is perturbed by another Lévy process. We distinguish between a parametric case, where the law of the perturbing process is known, and a semiparametric case, where it is not. In the parametric case, we construct estimators which are asymptotically efficient. In the semiparametric case, we can obtain…

金融计量中双幂变差的极限定理AI 解读

In this paper we provide an asymptotic analysis of generalized bipower measures of the variation of price processes in financial economics. These measures encompass the usual quadratic variation, power variation, and bipower variations that have been highlighted in recent years in financial econometrics. The analysis is carried out under some rather general Brownian semimartingale assumptions, which allow for standard leverage effects.Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen's work is…