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人口再生产率与开放人口中人均预期事件总数的估计AI 解读

Demographers conventionally estimate the mean number of children ever born to a woman who reaches a given age by adding age-specific fertility rates for her cohort up to that age. If the age selected is at the end of the childbearing period, the result is the cohort's total fertility rate (TFR); if only female babies are counted, the result is the gross reproduction rate (GRR). If births were generated by an age-dependent Poisson process, cumulative fertility rates give…

人口再生产率与开放人口中人均预期事件总数的估计AI 解读

Demographers conventionally estimate the mean number of children ever born to a woman who reaches a given age by adding age-specific fertility rates for her cohort up to that age. If the age selected is at the end of the childbearing period, the result is the cohort's total fertility rate (TFR); if only female babies are counted, the result is the gross reproduction rate (GRR). If births were generated by an age-dependent Poisson process, cumulative fertility rates give…

人口模型中转移强度的点估计AI 解读

Summary Occurrence/exposure rates are developed as estimators for the forces of transition of a homogeneous, time-continuous Markov process with at most countable state space in the case where the number of such forces is finite. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators are stated.