Dynamic Asymptotically Ideal Models and Finite Approximation
动态渐近理想模型与有限阶逼近
The authors extend W. A. Barnett and A. Jonas's (1983) asymptotically ideal model (AIM) to model for the possibility that the data were generated by a dynamic process. Prediction errors for dynamic and static AIM models are compared for various simulated datasets. Monetary data are also used to evaluate the AIM specifications. There is substantial evidence that an AR(1) correction considerably improves the quality of low-order finite approximations of AIM with the cost of…