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Multiple robustness in factorized likelihood models

因子化似然模型中的多重稳健性

We consider inference under a nonparametric or semiparametric model with likelihood that factorizes as the product of two or more variation-independent factors. We are interested in a finite-dimensional parameter that depends on only one of the likelihood factors and whose estimation requires the auxiliary estimation of one or several nuisance functions. We investigate general structures conducive to the construction of so-called multiply robust estimating functions, whose…

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Instrumental variables as bias amplifiers with general outcome and confounding

一般结果与混杂情形下工具变量的偏差放大作用

Drawing causal inference with observational studies is the central pillar of many disciplines. One sufficient condition for identifying the causal effect is that the treatment-outcome relationship is unconfounded conditional on the observed covariates. It is often believed that the more covariates we condition on, the more plausible this unconfoundedness assumption is. This belief has had a huge impact on practical causal inference, suggesting that we should adjust for all…

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Improved double-robust estimation in missing data and causal inference models

缺失数据与因果推断模型中的改进双重稳健估计

Recently proposed double-robust estimators for a population mean from incomplete data and for a finite number of counterfactual means can have much higher efficiency than the usual double-robust estimators under misspecification of the outcome model. In this paper, we derive a new class of double-robust estimators for the parameters of regression models with incomplete cross-sectional or longitudinal data, and of marginal structural mean models for cross-sectional data with…

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Time-dependent cross ratio estimation for bivariate failure times

二元失效时间的时变交叉比估计

In the analysis of bivariate correlated failure time data, it is important to measure the strength of association among the correlated failure times. One commonly used measure is the cross ratio. Motivated by Cox's partial likelihood idea, we propose a novel parametric cross ratio estimator that is a flexible continuous function of both components of the bivariate survival times. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Its finite sample…

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On doubly robust estimation in a semiparametric odds ratio model

半参数优势比模型中的双重稳健估计

We consider the doubly robust estimation of the parameters in a semiparametric conditional odds ratio model. Our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal in a union model that assumes either of two variation independent baseline functions is correctly modelled but not necessarily both. Furthermore, when either outcome has finite support, our estimators are semiparametric efficient in the union model at the intersection submodel where both nuisance functions models…

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Uniform consistency in causal inference

因果推断中的一致一致性

There is a long tradition of representing causal relationships by directed acyclic graphs (Wright, 1934). Spirtes (1994), Spirtes et al. (1993) and Pearl & Verma (1991) describe procedures for inferring the presence or absence of causal arrows in the graph even if there might be unobserved confounding variables, and/or an unknown time order, and that under weak conditions, for certain combinations of directed acyclic graphs and probability distributions, are asymptotically,…

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