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On testing for spatial or social network dependence in panel data allowing for network variability

允许网络随时间变化的面板空间与社会网络依赖检验

The paper introduces robust generalized Moran I tests for network-generated cross-sectional dependence in a panel data setting where unit-specific effects can be random or fixed. Network dependence may originate from endogenous variables, exogenous variables, and/or disturbances, and the network dependence is allowed to vary over time. The formulation of the test statistics also aims at accommodating situations where the researcher is unsure about the exact nature of the…

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SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS MODELS WITH HIGHER-ORDER SPATIAL OR SOCIAL NETWORK INTERACTIONS

具有高阶空间或社会网络交互的联立方程模型

This paper develops an estimation methodology for network data generated from a system of simultaneous equations, which allows for network interdependencies via spatial lags in the endogenous and exogenous variables, as well as in the disturbances. By allowing for higher-order spatial lags, our specification provides important flexibility in modeling network interactions. The estimation methodology builds, among others, on the two-step generalized method of moments…

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Efficient peer effects estimators with group effects

含群组效应的高效同伴效应估计

We study linear peer effect models where peers interact in groups and individual’s outcomes are linear in the group mean outcome and characteristics. We allow for unobserved random group effects as well as observed fixed group effects. The specification is in part motivated by the moment conditions imposed in Graham (2008). We show that these moment conditions can be cast in terms of a linear random group effects model and that they lead to a class of GMM estimators with…

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Dynamic Spatial Panel Models: Networks, Common Shocks, and Sequential Exogeneity

This paper considers a class of generalized methods of moments (GMM) estimators for general dynamic panel models, allowing for weakly exogenous covariates and cross‐sectional dependence due to spatial lags, unspecified common shocks, and time‐varying interactive effects. We significantly expand the scope of the existing literature by allowing for endogenous time‐varying spatial weight matrices without imposing explicit structural assumptions on how the weights are formed. An…

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A robust test for network generated dependence

网络生成依赖的稳健检验

The paper introduces a robust testing procedure for network generated cross sectional dependence in the endogenous variables, exogenous variables and/or disturbances. Empirical researchers often face situations where they are unsure about how to model the proximity between cross sectional units in a network. The tests considered provide the empirical researcher an important degree of robustness in such situations. They generalize the Moran (1950) I test for dependence in…

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Limit theory for panel data models with cross sectional dependence and sequential exogeneity

具有截面依赖与序贯外生性的面板数据模型极限理论

The paper derives a general Central Limit Theorem (CLT) and asymptotic distributions for sample moments related to panel data models with large n. The results allow for the data to be cross sectionally dependent, while at the same time allowing the regressors to be only sequentially rather than strictly exogenous. The setup is sufficiently general to accommodate situations where cross sectional dependence stems from spatial interactions and/or from the presence of common…

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On spatial processes and asymptotic inference under near-epoch dependence

空间过程与近历依赖下的渐近推断

The development of a general inferential theory for nonlinear models with cross-sectionally or spatially dependent data has been hampered by a lack of appropriate limit theorems. To facilitate a general asymptotic inference theory relevant to economic applications, this paper first extends the notion of near-epoch dependent (NED) processes used in the time series literature to random fields. The class of processes that is NED on, say, an α-mixing process, is shown to be…

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Specification and estimation of spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances

含自回归与异方差扰动的空间自回归模型:设定与估计

This study develops a methodology of inference for a widely used Cliff-Ord type spatial model containing spatial lags in the dependent variable, exogenous variables, and the disturbance terms, while allowing for unknown heteroskedasticity in the innovations. We first generalize the GMM estimator suggested in (Kelejian and Prucha, 1998) and (Kelejian and Prucha, 1999) for the spatial autoregressive parameter in the disturbance process. We also define IV estimators for the…

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Central limit theorems and uniform laws of large numbers for arrays of random fields

随机场阵列的中心极限定理与一致大数定律

Over the last decades, spatial-interaction models have been increasingly used in economics. However, the development of a sufficiently general asymptotic theory for nonlinear spatial models has been hampered by a lack of relevant central limit theorems (CLTs), uniform laws of large numbers (ULLNs) and pointwise laws of large numbers (LLNs). These limit theorems form the essential building blocks towards developing the asymptotic theory of M-estimators, including maximum…

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Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models: Asymptotic Theory

动态非线性计量经济模型:渐近理论

1 Introduction.- 2 Models, Data Generating Processes, and Estimators.- 3 Basic Structure of the Classical Consistency Proof.- 4 Further Comments on Consistency Proofs.- 5 Uniform Laws of Large Numbers.- 6 Approximation Concepts and Limit Theorems.- 7 Consistency: Catalogues of Assumptions.- 8 Basic Structure of the Asymptotic Normality Proof.- 9 Asymptotic Normality under Nonstandard Conditions.- 10 Central Limit Theorems.- 11 Asymptotic Normality: Catalogues of…

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A Uniform Law of Large Numbers for Dependent and Heterogeneous Data Processes

依赖且异质数据过程的一致大数定律

Uniform laws of large numbers (ULLNs) consider sums of the form: n −1 Σ t n =1 [q t (z t , θ)-Eq t (z t , θ)], where (z t ) denotes a stochastic data generating process that takes its values in a space Z, θ is an element of the parameter space Θ, and q t : Z×Θ→R. ULLNs provide conditions under which the above sum converges to zero uniformly over the parameter space. The purpose of the present note is to introduce a new generic ULLN. It maintains a set of assumptions that is…

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The Structure of Simultaneous Equation Estimators: A Generalization Towards Nonnormal Disturbances

联立方程估计量的结构:向非正态扰动的推广

A general linear simultaneous equation system with a multivariate Student t disturbance vector is considered. The normal equations of the corresponding maximum likelihood estimator are used as estimator generating equations to introduce a new class of estimators. Properties of large subclasses of these estimators are determined for disturbance vectors other than the multivariate Student t.

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