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Iterated Partial Sum Sequences of Regression Residuals and Tests for Changepoints with Continuity Constraints

回归残差的迭代部分和与连续性约束下的变点检验

Summary Iterated partial sum sequences of regression least squares residuals are defined and large sample properties of sequences of stochastic processes defined by these iterated partial sums are discussed. Also, finite sample properties of the iterated partial sum sequences are obtained. These include a property of least squares residuals of polynomial fits to equispaced data, namely the iterated partial sums sum to 0 provided that the order of iteration is not greater…

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The Effect of Serial Correlation on Tests for Parameter Change at Unknown Time

序列相关对未知时点参数变化检验的影响

It is shown that serial correlation can produce striking effects in distributions of change-point statistics. Failure to account for these effects is shown to invalidate change-point tests, either through increases in the type 1 error rates if low frequency spectral mass predominates in the spectrum of the noise process, or through diminution of the power of the tests when high frequency mass predominates. These effects are characterized by the expression ${2\pi f(0)/\int^\pi_-\pi f(\lambda)d\lambda}$…

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