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尾过程推断及其在金融时间序列建模中的应用AI 解读

To draw inference on serial extremal dependence within heavy-tailed Markov chains, Drees et al., (2015) proposed nonparametric estimators of the spectral tail process. The methodology can be extended to the more general setting of a stationary, regularly varying time series. The large-sample distribution of the estimators is derived via empirical process theory for cluster functionals. The finite-sample performance of these estimators is evaluated via Monte Carlo…

簇泛函经验过程的极限定理AI 解读

Let (Xn,i)1≤i≤n,n∈ℕ be a triangular array of row-wise stationary ℝd-valued random variables. We use a “blocks method” to define clusters of extreme values: the rows of (Xn,i) are divided into mn blocks (Yn,j), and if a block contains at least one extreme value, the block is considered to contain a cluster. The cluster starts at the first extreme value in the block and ends at the last one. The main results are uniform central limit theorems for empirical processes $Z_{n}(f):=\frac{1}{\sqrt{nv_{n}}}\sum_{j=1}^{m_{n}}(f(Y_{n,j})-Ef(Y_{n,j}))$…