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With random regressors, least squares inference is robust to correlated errors with unknown correlation structure

随机回归量下最小二乘推断对未知相关误差的稳健性

Abstract Linear regression is arguably the most widely used statistical method. With fixed regressors and correlated errors, the conventional wisdom is to modify the variance-covariance estimator to accommodate the known correlation structure of the errors. We depart from existing literature by showing that with random regressors, linear regression inference is robust to correlated errors with unknown correlation structure. The existing theoretical analyses for linear…

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Modelling Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series of Counts via Common Factors

用共同因子建模非平稳多元计数时间序列

Summary We develop a new parameter-driven model for multivariate time series of counts. The time series is not necessarily stationary. We model the mean process as the product of modulating factors and unobserved stationary processes. The former characterizes the long-run movement in the data, whereas the latter is responsible for rapid fluctuations and other unknown or unavailable covariates. The unobserved stationary processes evolve independently of the past observed…

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On Semiparametric Inference of Geostatistical Models via Local Karhunen–Loève Expansion

通过局部 Karhunen–Loève 展开进行地统计模型的半参数推断

Summary We develop a semiparametric approach to geostatistical modelling and inference. In particular, we consider a geostatistical model with additive components, where the form of the covariance function of the spatial random error is not prespecified and thus is flexible. A novel, local Karhunen–Loève expansion is developed and a likelihood-based method is devised for estimating the model parameters and statistical inference. A simulation study demonstrates sound finite…

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A Nonparametric Regression Model With Tree-Structured Response

树结构响应的非参数回归模型

Developments in science and technology over the last two decades has motivated the study of complex data objects. In this article, we consider the topological properties of a population of tree-structured objects. Our interest centers on modeling the relationship between a tree-structured response and other covariates. For tree-structured objects, this poses serious challenges since most regression methods rely on linear operations in Euclidean space. We generalize the…

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Penalized maximum likelihood estimation and variable selection in geostatistics

地统计学中的惩罚最大似然估计与变量选择

We consider the problem of selecting covariates in spatial linear models with Gaussian process errors. Penalized maximum likelihood estimation (PMLE) that enables simultaneous variable selection and parameter estimation is developed and, for ease of computation, PMLE is approximated by one-step sparse estimation (OSE). To further improve computational efficiency, particularly with large sample sizes, we propose penalized maximum covariance-tapered likelihood estimation…

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