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Wasserstein covariance for multiple random densities

多个随机密度的 Wasserstein 协方差

A common feature of methods for analysing samples of probability density functions is that they respect the geometry inherent to the space of densities. Once a metric is specified for this space, the Fréchet mean is typically used to quantify and visualize the average density of the sample. For one-dimensional densities, the Wasserstein metric is popular due to its theoretical appeal and interpretive value as an optimal transport metric, leading to the Wasserstein–Fréchet…

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Fréchet regression for random objects with Euclidean predictors

欧氏预测变量下随机对象的 Fréchet 回归

Increasingly, statisticians are faced with the task of analyzing complex data that are non-Euclidean and specifically do not lie in a vector space. To address the need for statistical methods for such data, we introduce the concept of Fréchet regression. This is a general approach to regression when responses are complex random objects in a metric space and predictors are in $\mathcal{R}^{p}$, achieved by extending the classical concept of a Fréchet mean to the notion of a…

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Principal component analysis for functional data on Riemannian manifolds and spheres

黎曼流形与球面上函数型数据的主成分分析

Functional data analysis on nonlinear manifolds has drawn recent interest. Sphere-valued functional data, which are encountered, for example, as movement trajectories on the surface of the earth are an important special case. We consider an intrinsic principal component analysis for smooth Riemannian manifold-valued functional data and study its asymptotic properties. Riemannian functional principal component analysis (RFPCA) is carried out by first mapping the…

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Dynamic Modeling of Conditional Quantile Trajectories, With Application to Longitudinal Snippet Data

条件分位数轨迹的动态建模及其纵向短片段数据应用

Longitudinal data are often plagued with sparsity of time points where measurements are available. The functional data analysis perspective has been shown to provide an effective and flexible approach to address this problem for the case where measurements are sparse but their times are randomly distributed over an interval. Here, we focus on a different scenario where available data can be characterized as snippets, which are very short stretches of longitudinal…

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Mixture inner product spaces and their application to functional data analysis

混合内积空间及其在函数型数据分析中的应用

We introduce the concept of mixture inner product spaces associated with a given separable Hilbert space, which feature an infinite-dimensional mixture of finite-dimensional vector spaces and are dense in the underlying Hilbert space. Any Hilbert valued random element can be arbitrarily closely approximated by mixture inner product space valued random elements. While this concept can be applied to data in any infinite-dimensional Hilbert space, the case of functional data…

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Optimal Designs for Longitudinal and Functional Data

纵向数据与函数型数据的最优设计

Summary We propose novel optimal designs for longitudinal data for the common situation where the resources for longitudinal data collection are limited, by determining the optimal locations in time where measurements should be taken. As for all optimal designs, some prior information is needed to implement the optimal designs proposed. We demonstrate that this prior information may come from a pilot longitudinal study that has irregularly measured and noisy measurements,…

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Modelling Function-Valued Stochastic Processes, with Applications to Fertility Dynamics

函数值随机过程建模及其生育动态应用

Summary We introduce a simple and interpretable model for functional data analysis for situations where the observations at each location are functional rather than scalar. This new approach is based on a tensor product representation of the function-valued process and utilizes eigenfunctions of marginal kernels. The resulting marginal principal components and product principal components are shown to have nice properties. Given a sample of independent realizations of the…

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Fréchet integration and adaptive metric selection for interpretable covariances of multivariate functional data

多元函数型数据可解释协方差的 Fréchet 积分与自适应度量选择

For multivariate functional data recorded from a sample of subjects on a common domain, one is often interested in the covariance between pairs of the component functions, extending the notion of a covariance matrix for multivariate data to the functional case. A straightforward approach is to integrate the pointwise covariance matrices over the functional time domain. We generalize this approach by defining the Fréchet integral, which depends on the metric chosen for the…

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Functional data analysis for density functions by transformation to a Hilbert space

通过 Hilbert 空间变换开展密度函数的函数型数据分析

Functional data that are nonnegative and have a constrained integral can be considered as samples of one-dimensional density functions. Such data are ubiquitous. Due to the inherent constraints, densities do not live in a vector space and, therefore, commonly used Hilbert space based methods of functional data analysis are not applicable. To address this problem, we introduce a transformation approach, mapping probability densities to a Hilbert space of functions through a…

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Modeling Repeated Functional Observations

重复函数型观测的建模

We introduce a new methodological framework for repeatedly observed and thus dependent functional data, aiming at situations where curves are recorded repeatedly for each subject in a sample. Our methodology covers the case where the recordings of the curves are scheduled on a regular and dense grid and also situations more typical for longitudinal studies, where the timing of recordings is often sparse and random. The proposed models lead to an interpretable and…

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Conditional Quantile Analysis When Covariates are Functions, with Application to Growth Data

函数型协变量的条件分位数分析及生长数据应用

Summary Motivated by the conditional growth charts problem, we develop a method for conditional quantile analysis when predictors take values in a functional space. The method proposed aims at estimating conditional distribution functions under a generalized functional regression framework. This approach facilitates balancing of model flexibility and the curse of dimensionality for the infinite dimensional functional predictors. Its good performance in comparison with other…

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Functional data analysis for volatility

波动率的函数型数据分析

We introduce a functional volatility process for modeling volatility trajectories for high frequency observations in financial markets and describe functional representations and data-based recovery of the process from repeated observations. A study of its asymptotic properties, as the frequency of observed trades increases, is complemented by simulations and an application to the analysis of intra-day volatility patterns of the S&P 500 index. The proposed volatility model…

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Functional Singular Component Analysis

函数型奇异成分分析

Summary Aiming at quantifying the dependence of pairs of functional data (X,Y), we develop the concept of functional singular value decomposition for covariance and functional singular component analysis, building on the concept of ‘canonical expansion’ of compact operators in functional analysis. We demonstrate the estimation of the resulting singular values, functions and components for the practically relevant case of sparse and noise-contaminated longitudinal data and…

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Single and multiple index functional regression models with nonparametric link

具有非参数连接函数的单指标与多指标函数型回归

Fully nonparametric methods for regression from functional data have poor accuracy from a statistical viewpoint, reflecting the fact that their convergence rates are slower than nonparametric rates for the estimation of high-dimensional functions. This difficulty has led to an emphasis on the so-called functional linear model, which is much more flexible than common linear models in finite dimension, but nevertheless imposes structural constraints on the relationship between…

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Stringing High-Dimensional Data for Functional Analysis

将高维数据串联为函数型数据进行分析

We propose stringing, a class of methods where one views high-dimensional observations as functional data. Stringing takes advantage of the high dimension by representing such data as discretized and noisy observations that originate from a hidden smooth stochastic process. Assuming that the observations result from scrambling the original ordering of the observations of the process, stringing reorders the components of the high-dimensional vectors, followed by transforming…

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Empirical dynamics for longitudinal data

纵向数据的经验动态建模

We demonstrate that the processes underlying on-line auction price bids and many other longitudinal data can be represented by an empirical first order stochastic ordinary differential equation with time-varying coefficients and a smooth drift process. This equation may be empirically obtained from longitudinal observations for a sample of subjects and does not presuppose specific knowledge of the underlying processes. For the nonparametric estimation of the components of…

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Functional Varying Coefficient Models for Longitudinal Data

纵向数据的函数型变系数模型

The proposed functional varying coefficient model provides a versatile and flexible analysis tool for relating longitudinal responses to longitudinal predictors. Specifically, this approach provides a novel representation of varying coefficient functions through suitable auto and cross-covariances of the underlying stochastic processes, which is particularly advantageous for sparse and irregular designs, as often encountered in longitudinal studies. Existing methodology for…

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Estimation of functional derivatives

泛函导数的估计

Situations of a functional predictor paired with a scalar response are increasingly encountered in data analysis. Predictors are often appropriately modeled as square integrable smooth random functions. Imposing minimal assumptions on the nature of the functional relationship, we aim to estimate the directional derivatives and gradients of the response with respect to the predictor functions. In statistical applications and data analysis, functional derivatives provide a…

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Estimating Derivatives for Samples of Sparsely Observed Functions, With Application to Online Auction Dynamics

稀疏观测函数样本的导数估计及在线拍卖动态应用

It is often of interest to recover derivatives of a sample of random functions from sparse and noise-contaminated measurements, especially when the dynamics of underlying processes is of interest. We propose a novel approach based on estimating derivatives of eigenfunctions and expansions of random functions into their eigenfunctions to obtain a representation for derivatives. In combination with estimates for functional principal component scores for sparse data, this leads…

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Modeling Hazard Rates as Functional Data for the Analysis of Cohort Lifetables and Mortality Forecasting

将风险率建模为函数型数据:队列生命表分析与死亡率预测

As world populations age, the analysis of demographic mortality data and demographic predictions of future mortality have met with increasing interest. The study of mortality patterns and the forecasting of future mortality with its associated impacts on social welfare, health care, and societal planning has become a more pressing issue. An ideal set of data to study patterns of change in long-term mortality is the well-known historical Swedish cohort mortality data, because…

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Functional Additive Models

函数型加性模型

In commonly used functional regression models, the regression of a scalar or functional response on the functional predictor is assumed to be linear. This means that the response is a linear function of the functional principal component scores of the predictor process. We relax the linearity assumption and propose to replace it by an additive structure, leading to a more widely applicable and much more flexible framework for functional regression models. The proposed…

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Modelling Sparse Generalized Longitudinal Observations with Latent Gaussian Processes

用潜在高斯过程建模稀疏广义纵向观测

Summary In longitudinal data analysis one frequently encounters non-Gaussian data that are repeatedly collected for a sample of individuals over time. The repeated observations could be binomial, Poisson or of another discrete type or could be continuous. The timings of the repeated measurements are often sparse and irregular. We introduce a latent Gaussian process model for such data, establishing a connection to functional data analysis. The functional methods proposed are…

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Accelerated convergence for nonparametric regression with coarsened predictors

粗化预测变量下非参数回归的加速收敛

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while one has available a sample (W1, Y1), …, (Wn, Yn) of independent and identically distributed data, representing observations with precisely measured predictors, where E(Yi|Wi)=g(Wi), instead of the smooth regression function g, the target…

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Functional Variance Processes

函数型方差过程

We introduce the notion of a functional variance process to quantify variation in functional data. The functional data are modeled as samples of smooth random trajectories observed under additive noise. The noise is assumed to be composed of white noise and a smooth random process—the functional variance process—which gives rise to smooth random trajectories of variance. The functional variance process is a tool for analyzing stochastic time trends in noise variance. As a…

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