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A Bayesian approach to modeling economic growth: Variable selection and cross-sectional dependence

经济增长建模的贝叶斯方法:变量选择与截面依赖

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework designed to address two critical econometric challenges in empirical growth studies: variable selection and cross-sectional dependence. We first propose a growth regression model that incorporates cross-sectional dependence through a multi-factor structure and accounts for variable selection with sparse coefficients. We then introduce a new Bayesian Adaptive LASSO estimator specifically designed for this model, capable of performing…

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An integrated panel data approach to modelling economic growth

经济增长建模的综合面板数据方法

Empirical growth analysis is plagued with three problems – variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence – which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. This study is to propose an integrated framework that allows for parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional error dependence, while simultaneously performing variable selection. We derive the asymptotic properties of the estimator, and apply the framework to a dataset of 89…

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Semi-parametric single-index panel data models with interactive fixed effects: Theory and practice

含交互固定效应的半参数单指标面板模型:理论与实践

In this paper, we propose a single-index panel data model with unobserved multiple interactive fixed effects. This model has the advantages of being flexible and of being able to allow for common shocks and their heterogeneous impacts on cross sections, thus making it suitable for the investigation of many economic issues. The asymptotic theories are established accordingly. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that our methodology works well for large N and T cases. In our…

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A varying-coefficient panel data model with fixed effects: Theory and an application to US commercial banks

含固定效应的变系数面板模型:理论与美国商业银行应用

In this paper, we propose a semiparametric varying-coefficient categorical panel data model in which covariates (variables affecting the coefficients) are purely categorical. This model has two features: first, fixed effects are included to allow for correlation between individual unobserved heterogeneity and the regressors; second, it allows for cross-sectional dependence through a general spatial error dependence structure. We derive a semiparametric estimator for our…

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