Some Results on Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models
多元自回归指数模型的若干结果
We discuss methods for modelling multivariate autoregressive time series in terms of a smaller number of index series which are chosen to provide as complete a summary as possible of the past information contained in the original series necessary for prediction purposes. The maximum likelihood method of estimation and asymptotic properties of estimators of the coefficients which determine the index variables, a well as the corresponding autoregressive coefficients, are…