Benchmarking the Expectations Hypothesis of the Interest-Rate Term Structure: An Analysis of Cointegration Vectors
评估利率期限结构的预期假说:协整向量分析
The author tests cointegration restrictions that are consistent with the expectations hypothesis of the term structure by employing the full-information maximum likelihood methods developed by S. Johansen. Yield curves appear to be the result of cointegration among interest rates. The cointegration vectors that best describe the long-term impact of interest-rate levels on interest-rate changes can often be written as linear combinations of interest-rate spreads. There is,…