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Bayesian model averaging in the instrumental variable regression model

工具变量回归中的贝叶斯模型平均

This paper considers the instrumental variable regression model when there is uncertainty about the set of instruments, exogeneity restrictions, the validity of identifying restrictions and the set of exogenous regressors. This uncertainty can result in a huge number of models. To avoid statistical problems associated with standard model selection procedures, we develop a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that allows us to do Bayesian model averaging. The…

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Semiparametric Bayesian inference in smooth coefficient models

平滑系数模型的半参数贝叶斯推断

We describe procedures for Bayesian estimation and testing in cross sectional, panel data and nonlinear smooth coefficient models. The smooth coefficient model is a generalization of the partially linear or additive model wherein coefficients on linear explanatory variables are treated as unknown functions of an observable covariate. In the approach we describe, points on the regression lines are regarded as unknown parameters and priors are placed on differences between…

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Semiparametric Bayesian inference in multiple equation models

多方程模型中的半参数贝叶斯推断

Abstract This paper outlines an approach to Bayesian semiparametric regression in multiple equation models which can be used to carry out inference in seemingly unrelated regressions or simultaneous equations models with nonparametric components. The approach treats the points on each nonparametric regression line as unknown parameters and uses a prior on the degree of smoothness of each line to ensure valid posterior inference despite the fact that the number of parameters…

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Multiple-Output Production With Undesirable Outputs

含非期望产出的多产出生产模型

Many production processes yield both good outputs and undesirable ones (e.g., pollutants). In this article we develop a generalization of a stochastic frontier model that is appropriate for such technologies. We discuss efficiency analysis and, in particular, define technical and environmental efficiency in the context of our model. We develop methods for carrying out Bayesian inference and apply them to a panel data set of Dutch dairy farms, where excess nitrogen production…

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Testing for optimality in job search models

求职搜寻模型中的最优性检验

Models of search in labor markets are potentially of great use for policy analy-sis since their parameters are structural. However, a common feature of these models is that an assumption of optimal behavior on the part of agents is necessary to achieve identifica-tion. From a classical econometric perspective, this means the assumption of optimality is untestable and, if optimality is not imposed, it is impossible to learn about the unidentified parameters. This paper argues…

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Bayesian Efficiency Analysis With a Flexible Form: The AIM Cost Function

灵活函数形式下的贝叶斯效率分析:AIM 成本函数

In this article, the authors describe the use of Gibbs sampling methods for drawing posterior inferences in a cost frontier model with an asymptotically ideal price aggregator, nonconstant returns to scale, and composed error. An empirical example illustrates the sensitivity of efficiency measures to assumptions made about the functional form of the frontier. The authors also examine the consequences of imposing regularity through parametric restrictions alone.

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