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Asymptotic properties of penalized spline estimators

惩罚样条估计量的渐近性质

We study the class of penalized spline estimators, which enjoy similarities to both regression splines, without penalty and with fewer knots than data points, and smoothing splines, with knots equal to the data points and a penalty controlling the roughness of the fit. Depending on the number of knots, sample size and penalty, we show that the theoretical properties of penalized regression spline estimators are either similar to those of regression splines or to those of…

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Non-Parametric Small Area Estimation Using Penalized Spline Regression

利用惩罚样条回归进行非参数小区域估计

Summary The paper proposes a small area estimation approach that combines small area random effects with a smooth, non-parametrically specified trend. By using penalized splines as the representation for the non-parametric trend, it is possible to express the non-parametric small area estimation problem as a mixed effect model regression. The resulting model is readily fitted by using existing model fitting approaches such as restricted maximum likelihood. We present…

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An asymptotic theory for model selection inference in general semiparametric problems

一般半参数问题中模型选择推断的渐近理论

Hjort & Claeskens (2003) developed an asymptotic theory for model selection, model averaging and subsequent inference using likelihood methods in parametric models, along with associated confidence statements. In this article, we consider a semiparametric version of this problem, wherein the likelihood depends on parameters and an unknown function, and model selection/averaging is to be applied to the parametric parts of the model. We show that all the results of Hjort &…

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Model-assisted estimation for complex surveys using penalised splines

复杂调查中基于惩罚样条的模型辅助估计

Estimation of finite population totals in the presence of auxiliary information is considered. A class of estimators based on penalised spline regression is proposed. These estimators are weighted linear combinations of sample observations, with weights calibrated to known control totals. They allow straightforward extensions to multiple auxiliary variables and to complex designs. Under standard design conditions, the estimators are design consistent and asymptotically…

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