Ten Years of Consumer Attitude Surveys: Their Forecasting Record
十年消费者态度调查的预测表现
Since 1951 the Survey Research Center has conducted surveys of consumer optimism and confidence two to four times a year in an attempt to improve methods of forecasting discretionary spending by consumers. The predictive success of these attitude surveys is tested here in conjunction with a number of financial variables by means of time series regressions covering the years 1952–61. The results indicate that attitude measurements contain information not obtainable from a…