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ANALYZING THE RANDOM COEFFICIENT MODEL NONPARAMETRICALLY

随机系数模型的非参数分析

Linearity in a causal relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors is a common assumption throughout economics. In this paper we consider the case when the coefficients in this relationship are random and distributed independently from the regressors. Our aim is to identify and estimate the distribution of the coefficients nonparametrically. We propose a kernel-based estimator for the joint probability density of the coefficients. Although this estimator…

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Empirical risk minimization in inverse problems

逆问题中的经验风险最小化

We study estimation of a multivariate function f : Rd→R when the observations are available from the function Af, where A is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are studied. We define an L2-empirical risk functional which is used to define a δ-net minimizer and a dense empirical risk minimizer. Upper bounds for the mean integrated squared error of the estimators are given. The upper bounds show how the difficulty of the…

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NONPARAMETRIC ADDITIVE MODELS FOR PANELS OF TIME SERIES

时间序列面板的非参数加性模型

This paper discusses nonparametric models for panels of time series. There is already a substantial literature on nonlinear models and nonparametric methods in a regression and time series setting. But almost without exception these developments have been limited to univariate and multivariate models of moderate dimensions. Very little has been done for panels, where the dimension, often corresponding to a number of individuals, typically is very large but where the number…

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Time Series Modelling With Semiparametric Factor Dynamics

具有半参数因子动态的时间序列建模

High-dimensional regression problems, which reveal dynamic behavior, are typically analyzed by time propagation of a few number of factors. The inference on the whole system is then based on the low-dimensional time series analysis. Such high-dimensional problems occur frequently in many different fields of science. In this article we address the problem of inference when the factors and factor loadings are estimated by semiparametric methods. This more flexible modeling…

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Identification and estimation of local average derivatives in non-separable models without monotonicity

In many structural economic models there are no good arguments for additive separability of the error. Recently, this motivated intensive research on non-separable structures. For instance, in equation case was considered, and it was established that in the absence of the frequently employed monotonicity assumption local average structural derivatives (LASD) are still identified. In this paper, we introduce an estimator for the LASD. The estimator we propose is based on…

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Testing in Semiparametric Models with Interaction, with Applications to Gene–Environment Interactions

含交互作用的半参数模型检验及基因—环境交互应用

Summary Motivated from the problem of testing for genetic effects on complex traits in the presence of gene–environment interaction, we develop score tests in general semiparametric regression problems that involves Tukey style 1 degree-of-freedom form of interaction between parametrically and non-parametrically modelled covariates. We find that the score test in this type of model, as recently developed by Chatterjee and co-workers in the fully parametric setting, is biased…

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Smooth backfitting in generalized additive models

广义加性模型中的平滑回拟合

Generalized additive models have been popular among statisticians and data analysts in multivariate nonparametric regression with non-Gaussian responses including binary and count data. In this paper, a new likelihood approach for fitting generalized additive models is proposed. It aims to maximize a smoothed likelihood. The additive functions are estimated by solving a system of nonlinear integral equations. An iterative algorithm based on smooth backfitting is developed…

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Rate-optimal estimation for a general class of nonparametric regression models with unknown link functions

未知连接函数的一般非参数回归模型的速率最优估计

This paper discusses a nonparametric regression model that naturally generalizes neural network models. The model is based on a finite number of one-dimensional transformations and can be estimated with a one-dimensional rate of convergence. The model contains the generalized additive model with unknown link function as a special case. For this case, it is shown that the additive components and link function can be estimated with the optimal rate by a smoothing spline that…

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Identification of Marginal Effects in Nonseparable Models Without Monotonicity

无单调性非可分模型中边际效应的识别

Nonseparable models do not impose any type of additivity between the unobserved part and the observable regressors, and are therefore ideal for many economic applications. To identify these models using the entire joint distribution of the data as summarized in regression quantiles, monotonicity in unobservables has frequently been assumed. This paper establishes that in the absence of monotonicity, the quantiles identify local average structural derivatives of nonseparable…

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A simple smooth backfitting method for additive models

加性模型的一种简便平滑后拟合方法

In this paper a new smooth backfitting estimate is proposed for additive regression models. The estimate has the simple structure of Nadaraya–Watson smooth backfitting but at the same time achieves the oracle property of local linear smooth backfitting. Each component is estimated with the same asymptotic accuracy as if the other components were known.

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Bandwidth selection for smooth backfitting in additive models

加性模型平滑回拟合的带宽选择

The smooth backfitting introduced by Mammen, Linton and Nielsen [Ann. Statist. 27 (1999) 1443–1490] is a promising technique to fit additive regression models and is known to achieve the oracle efficiency bound. In this paper, we propose and discuss three fully automated bandwidth selection methods for smooth backfitting in additive models. The first one is a penalized least squares approach which is based on higher-order stochastic expansions for the residual sums of…

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Nonparametric estimation of an additive model with a link function

具有连接函数的加性模型非参数估计

This paper describes an estimator of the additive components of a nonparametric additive model with a known link function. When the additive components are twice continuously differentiable, the estimator is asymptotically normally distributed with a rate of convergence in probability of n−2/5. This is true regardless of the (finite) dimension of the explanatory variable. Thus, in contrast to the existing asymptotically normal estimator, the new estimator has no curse of…

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Smooth discrimination analysis

平滑判别分析

Discriminant analysis for two data sets in IRd with probability densities f and g can be based on the estimation of the set G = {x : f(x) I g(x)}. We consider applications where it is appropriate to assume that the region G has a smooth boundary. In particular, this assumption makes sense if discriminant analysis is used as a data analytic tool. We discuss optimal rates for estimation of G.

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BOOTSTRAP INFERENCE IN SEMIPARAMETRIC GENERALIZED ADDITIVE MODELS

半参数广义可加模型中的 Bootstrap 推断

Semiparametric generalized additive models are a powerful tool in quantitative econometrics. With response Y, covariates X,T, the considered model is E(Y |X;T) = G{XTβ + α + m1(T1) + ··· + md(Td)}. Here, G is a known link, α and β are unknown parameters, and m1,…,md are unknown (smooth) functions of possibly higher dimensional covariates T1,…,Td. Estimates of m1,…,md, α, and β are presented, and asymptotic distributions are given for both the nonparametric and the parametric…

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More Efficient Local Polynomial Estimation in Nonparametric Regression With Autocorrelated Errors

自相关误差下更高效的非参数局部多项式估计

We propose a modification of local polynomial time series regression estimators that improves efficiency when the innovation process is autocorrelated. The procedure is based on a pre-whitening transformation of the dependent variable that must be estimated from the data. We establish the asymptotic distribution of our estimator under weak dependence conditions. We show that the proposed estimation procedure is more efficient than the conventional local polynomial method. We…

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ESTIMATION IN AN ADDITIVE MODEL WHEN THE COMPONENTS ARE LINKED PARAMETRICALLY

分量具有参数联系时的加性模型估计

Motivated by a nonparametric GARCH model we consider nonparametric additive autoregression models in the special case that the additive components are linked parametrically. We show that the parameter can be estimated with parametric rate and give the normal limit. Our procedure is based on two steps. In the first step nonparametric smoothers are used for the estimation of each additive component without taking into account the parametric link of the functions. In a second…

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Yield curve estimation by kernel smoothing methods

核平滑方法下的收益率曲线估计

We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government issued coupon bonds. Our approach is nonparametric and does not assume a particular functional form for the discount function although we do show how to impose various restrictions in the estimation. Our method is based on kernel smoothing and is defined as the minimum of some localized population moment condition. The solution to the sample problem is not…

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Smooth discrimination analysis

平滑判别分析

Discriminant analysis for two data sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with probability densities $f$ and $g$ can be based on the estimation of the set $G = \{x: f(x) \geq g(x)\}$. We consider applications where it is appropriate to assume that the region $G$ has a smooth boundary or belongs to another nonparametric class of sets. In particular, this assumption makes sense if discrimination is used as a data analytic tool. Decision rules based on minimization of empirical risk over the…

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On Estimation of Monotone and Concave Frontier Functions

单调凹前沿函数的估计

Abstract When analyzing the productivity of firms, one may want to compare how the firms transform a set of inputs x (typically labor, energy or capital) into an output y (typically a quantity of goods produced). The economic efficiency of a firm is then defined in terms of its ability to operate close to or on the production frontier, the boundary of the production set. The frontier function gives the maximal level of output attainable by a firm for a given combination of…

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Testing Parametric versus Semiparametric Modeling in Generalized Linear Models

广义线性模型中参数与半参数设定的检验

We consider a generalized partially linear model E(Y|X, T) = G{X T β + m(T)}, where G is a known function, β is an unknown parameter vector, and m is an unknown function. We introduce a test statistic that allows one to decide between a parametric and a semiparametric model: (a) m is linear (i.e., m(t) = t T γ for a parameter vector γ), and (b) m is a smooth (nonlinear) function. Under linearity (a), we show that the test statistic is asymptotically normal. Moreover, we…

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Direct estimation of low-dimensional components in additive models

加性模型中低维分量的直接估计

Additive regression models have turned out to be a useful statistical tool in analyses of high-dimensional data sets. Recently, an estimator of additive components has been introduced by Linton and Nielsen which is based on marginal integration. The explicit definition of this estimator makes possible a fast computation and allows an asymptotic distribution theory. In this paper an asymptotic treatment of this estimate is offered for several models. A modification of this…

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Penalized quasi-likelihood estimation in partial linear models

部分线性模型中的惩罚准似然估计

Consider a partial linear model, where the expectation of a random variable Y depends on covariates $(x, z)$ through $F(\theta_0 x + m_0(z))$, with $\theta_0$ an unknown parameter, and $m_0$ an unknown function. We apply the theory of empirical processes to derive the asymptotic properties of the penalized quasi-likelihood estimator.

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